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AK: McCain 57, Obama 33 (AV-9/2)

Topics: PHome

American Viewpoint (R) /
John McCain
9/2/08; 400 RV, 4.9%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Alaska
McCain 57, Obama 33

 

Comments
Brutus1_:
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Brutus1_:
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Brutus1_:

Nay, I stand corrected. This is the beatdown of the year!


http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/4/105623/5197/586/586233

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bmcavan:

Wow! What happened to cause such a swing in Alaska?!?!

;)

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jamesia:

Interesting that the AOL columnist says 59% of Alaskans think Palin is as or more qualified than Obama, without flipping the numbers and saying that 60% think Obama is as or more qualified than Palin.

"And they should know", the columnist wrote. I don't think the people of Alaska know as much about Obama as they do about Palin. The reverse is true in Illinois, of course.

More than half of people are more likely to vote McCain now that Palin is on the ticket...

Maybe a poll should be done comparing Biden to McCain in Delaware. Or have we all had enough of superfluous polls?

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mac7396:

Everyone keeps touting her 80% approval rating in Alaska. Looks to me like it is 57%.

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cinnamonape:

Not hard to have high approval ratings in Alaska as long as one stays out of trouble. Most benefits that Alaskans get derive from the investments generated by the Alaska Permanent Fund, which is based upon the sale of leases and taxes on the oil and gas industry. Thus there is no State Income or Sales Tax, and good benefits for schools, universities, healthcare and other social services, plus a payout of residuals. The APF is Constitutionally Mandated...frozen in so that a Governor has little influence on it. It's sort of a Norwegian-style socialist system (ironically introduced by another populist Republican Governor and implemented by his Democratic successor).

If Palin actually followed the Republican philosophy of taxing corporations at lower rates, and returning the taxes to "those that earned them" (i.e. the corporations) her approval ratings would fall through the floor.

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Andrew_in_California:

Wouldn't this be living proof that people do take the VP into consideration of their ticket?

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Indy_Dan:

Andrew - No. This shows that after being pissed at the Republican party for Senator Stevens being an other corrupt AK politician, they are willing to forgive now that their native daughter is on the ticket.

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eddie59:

And I keep saying that VP's don't bring in any votes... :-)

Historically, that has been the case, but given the relatively small size of the state, Palin's current positive approval ratings as governor and the fact that Alaska is traditionally a Republican state it shouldn't surprise anyone that this state has turned red on the map. It's a pretty good bet that it'll stay that way. The Obama camp had talked about making Alaska competitive this year and they've actually put some resources on the ground in the state already. My guess is that they won't bother any more; Obama doesn't really need Alaska to win.

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brambster:

This is exactly the type of polling that I don't trust. Did anyone note the "John McCain" sponsor of this poll from an unknown Republican pollster?

Now of course I would give McCain-Palin an edge in Alaska at this point, but the McCain camp is pushing this polling out because they are trying to prove a point, and they picked the state that would best prove that point for their message. That message of course is that Palin is beneficial to their ticket. Surprisingly, these numbers aren't as high as I would have expected except for the top line generic vote.

Anyway, McCain's campaign proves again it's deeply cynical view of Americans and assume that they will continue to eat up this propaganda after they already got sick eating it.

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brambster:

And for those that still dismiss the partisinship of this so-called polling operation, just take a look at their client list:

http://www.amview.com/amview_contents/stories/political.shtml

I didn't go through all of the candidates, but all the one's that I recognized were Republicans. The organizations on the otherhand should clarify any questions about their bias:

BAMPAC
GA House Republican Caucus
IL House Republican Caucus
IN House Republican Campaign Committee
MO Senate Republican Caucus
RNC
NRCC
NRSC
The WISH List
Log Cabin Republicans
Republican Mainstreet Partnership
Republican Majority for Choice

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KipTin:

Look at the approval rates again:

Job Approval for Gov. Palin: 86%
Among Independents: 86%
Among Democrats: 75%

Note that the largest number of registered voters in Alaska are UNAFFILIATED (aka Independent in the polls) and probably also includes Alaska Independent Party ID.

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Gary Kilbride:

LOL. Maybe this will allow the goofs who rely on state polls to remove Alaska from the toss up or lean McCain list. I've been seeing that for the past week, still in pre-Palin position, like they're paralyzed to move something without numerical verification.

Meanwhile, the trading price is beyond 90%. That's quite a lean. It still busts me up beyond description, the recent claim that political gamblers wait for the polling sites before making a move.

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