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AR: 2010 Sen (MasonDixon 1/18-20)

Topics: poll

Mason Dixon / Arkansas News Bureau / Stephens Media
1/18-20/10; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
303 likely Democratic primary voters, 6% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Arkansas News story)

Arkansas

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
52% Lincoln, 34% Halter
63% Lincoln, 22% Johnson

2010 Senate: General Election
43% Baker (R), 39% Lincoln (D)
43% Lincoln (D), 37% Holt (R)
40% Lincoln (D), 39% Coleman (R)
41% Lincoln (D), 38% Reynolds (R)
43% Lincoln (D), 38% Hendren (R)
41% Lincoln (D), 38% Cox (R)

 

Comments
Xenobion:

I'll be surprised if Lincoln can pull this off. Will take going past HCR and 3 months for AR to forget she ever voted for it.

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al of arabia:

Lincoln gets no higher than 43% in the general against any opponent. Very vulnerable.

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farleftandproud:

We'll have to see which GOP candidate gets elected. Lincoln could pull it off more easily in AR than I think Specter will in PA. I have talked with Democrats from Arkansas; they get disappointed when Democrats don't get progressive legislation through, yet they seem to have a loyalty about them. In PA, I find Democrats to be more progressive and get really uninvolved when things don't go their way politically.

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farleftandproud:

Arkansas and West Virginia are still the most Democratic southern states. I found that they had issues about Obama that didn't have to do with politics; possibly race played a roll in it, I don't know. I know that Mary Landreu won LA by 10 points even though Obama lost by 20.

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Bigmike:

This is the best poll I have seen for Blanche in a while. I would take it with a huge grain of salt. Especially now that the corporations are free to slam her in TV ads day and night. Heh, heh.

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RaleighNC:

Blanche "Don't Call Me Abraham" Lincoln is toast.

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farleftandproud:

I think it was rather sad that southern whites turned to the GOP for their answers starting in the 1960's. A combination of the civil rights movement, and the growth of groups like the moral majority and the anti-choice movement, there became a few issues that southern Whites believed so strongly in, they turned to people like Jesse Helms and Strom THurmond. The emergence of the Christian right, really heated up in the 1980's, but in just about the rest of the country outside the south, churchgoers and those who were more religious had tradiitionally voted Republican throughout our history. I know that Kennedy didn't do well among religious protestants in the Midwest and west either. The same types of people in California supported Ronald Reagan in the 1960's against the emerging counter culture in San Francisco, and opposing the ideas of the hippy movement.

SOuthern Democrats to this day try hard to be conservative on a lot of issues, and they have attempted to fight poverty and put up a populous message to poor rural whites, but it was just not sunk in. Roosevelt in contrast had lots of support in the south and the TN Valley Authority was a huge project that gained him tremendous respect. Perhaps Obama needs to be vigilant and reach out more to the southern states he hasn't campaigned much in. Not to win their votes, but perhaps start some programs that will create jobs and improve the quality of life, and hit these places directly.

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