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AR: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 3/30)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
3/30/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(
Rasmussen release
)

Arkansas

2010 Senate (trends)
51% Hendren (R), 35% Lincoln (D) (chart)
51% Baker (R), 36% Lincoln (D) (chart)
48% Coleman (R), 36% Lincoln (D) (chart)
51% Holt (R), 35% Lincoln (D)
51% Boozman (R), 36% Lincoln (D)
42% Hendren (R), 34% Halter (D)
44% Baker (R), 36% Halter (D)
40% Coleman (R), 37% Halter (D)
43% Holt (R), 34% Halter (D)
48% Boozman (R), 34% Halter (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kim Hendren: 38 / 21
Blanche Lincoln: 37 / 61
Gilbert Baker: 37 / 25
Curtis Coleman: 35 / 25
Jim Holt: 46 / 24
John Boozman: 47 / 25
Bill Halter: 47 / 40

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 37 / 61
Gov. Beebe: 74 / 25

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Have we seen any Dem primary polls in the last few weeks? I wonder if Lincoln will even be in the general election.

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jmartin4s:

There has only been one recent primary poll from Dailykos which showed Lincoln leading 44 to 31. If this poll is accurate then Lincoln is likely to be defeated in the primary. For a two term incumbent to be that far away from 50 in the primary is very bad for her even if she has horrible approval ratings. I remember Jon Corzine had horrible approval rating even though he won two statewide elections and he won his primary with 77%. So I think that Halter will likely defeat Lincoln 53 to 47 and Baker will defeat Boozman 52 to 48 in an upset in the GOP primary runoff. So we will likely have a Baker vs. Halter matchup.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

Halter's favorable rating is just as high as teh two leading Republican candidates. However, his unfavorable rating is higher than the Republicans. see this as being a loss for the Dems. i think Dems need to concentrate on OH, NH, MO and trying to flip them to democratic. I think Dems have an even better chance of taking AZ if Hayworth is the nominee than winning Ar.

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