AZ: McCain 49, Obama 41 (NAU-10/18-27)
Eric Dienstfrey | October 27, 2008
Topics: PHome
Northern Arizona University /
University of Washington
10/18-27/08 - 600 RV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Arizona
McCain 49, Obama 41
Northern Arizona University /
University of Washington
10/18-27/08 - 600 RV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Arizona
McCain 49, Obama 41
Comments
Well this is no fun! Come on zonies; get with the program. :-)
Posted on October 27, 2008 8:54 PM
Still hoping......a bit disappointing, but this is just about running up the score at this point, have to keep in mind that a month ago I would have been thrilled just to win. We don't have to have 400 evs.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:04 PM
9 day poll.. wow. Clearly some movement for Obama in the past few days. But let's get real. AZ isn't going to turn blue. But it is fun to see some close polls.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:04 PM
I don't think we will complete the blue shift of the southwest until 2012.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:11 PM
If McCain were from Oklahoma, Arizona would be blue today.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:20 PM
10/18?? this is old . . . newer activity is showing move to Obama . . .
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:20 PM
AZ isn't turning blue but I'm sure McCain was hoping to break 50 back home.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:23 PM
Keep working at it AZ !!! One more week to go ...
Go out and VOTE!!! Every vote counts and is CRITICAL!!!
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:34 PM
AZ isn't going to go for Obama. But a single digit lead for McCain's home state is still a pretty good sign for Obama.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:34 PM
They took 10 days to call 600 people....Wow!
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:35 PM
They took 10 days to call 600 people....Wow!
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:35 PM
They took 10 days to call 600 people and still could not find 50% of the state support for McCain....Wow!
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:36 PM
So Obama is polling higher in VA and PA than McCain is in AZ?
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:44 PM
That state was never in play. I don't know why some of the progressive sites were wasting time touting a couple of polls the last few days. I wanted to ridicule the thread starters on a few sites but I get in trouble when I do that. Better to shut up.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:48 PM
Ten days to call 600 people? Must have had only one person making calls.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:49 PM
I think that Obama should turn up the heat in Arizona.
In the Rasmussen survey there was a lot of "up" amongst Mexican American voters in Arizona, who are still "weakly supportive" of McCain. Leak word to McCain that if he stops the dirty ads using "fear words" then the pressure will be turned off in Arizona.
Otherwise it's hardball.
Posted on October 27, 2008 9:50 PM
living in AZ & watching the trending . . . it is not as far fetched as some may think . . . local political thought : http://www.azcapitoltimes.com/freestory.cfm?id=9704
there is a lot of activity for geared toward NM from AZ Obama volunteers . . .
this is a lot closer than those on the outside might think . . . foreclosures are hitting us BAD . . . driving down ones' neighborhood with foreclosure signs are as good as Obama yard signs :-)
Posted on October 27, 2008 10:12 PM
The demographics of AZ are similar to NM, and the only reason for Obama to put a little money into that state in this election cycle is to prepare for the future, when an AZ pub is NOT on the ticket. I think AZ, NM, CO & NV will become a Dem power base going forward, and as the population in those states explode, so will their EVs.
Posted on October 27, 2008 10:26 PM
It is going to be pretty embarassing for McCain to win AZ by single digits and get clobbered by Obama in IL :-)
Posted on October 27, 2008 10:42 PM
Anybody who thinks either candidate can steal each other's home state has no business being involved in this political process and should go back to their mom's basement and stay there!
Posted on October 28, 2008 9:39 AM
sotonightthatimightsee:
"Anybody who thinks either candidate can steal each other's home state has no business being involved in this political process and should go back to their mom's basement and stay there!"
Al Gore lost Tennessee in 2000 and Kerry lost NC in 2004 even though John Edwards was his running mate. So there is historical precedence.
Posted on October 28, 2008 9:44 AM
Not bad. I don't think Obama can win AZ and it shouldn't be a top priority. But I was really hoping to hold AZ to less than 10%, and that seems to be the case. If McCain wins AZ by less than 10% while losing the general election, I'll chalk it as a win for AZ. Then AZ can become a 2012 swing state.
ND, MT, GA - Maybe Obama landslide states
WV, MS, TX, AZ, SD, 2 NE districts - McCain wins by less than 10%.
SC, TN, KY, AR, KS, AK - McCain just might win these by less than 10% as well.
They ALL will be swing states in 2012. :-D
Posted on October 28, 2008 10:16 AM
People harping about Arizona never being up for grabs are missing the point. The point is we shouldn't even be having this conversation. McCain shouldn't be running under 50% in his home state a week before the election!
Sheesh.
Posted on October 28, 2008 11:44 AM
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