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Articles and Analysis

 

Before the Long Weekend "Outliers"

Topics: 2008 , Barack Obama , Hillary Clinton , John McCain

Chris Bowers averages recent polls to create a "combined Obama Clinton" electoral map.

Marc Ambinder questions Bowers' logic of taking the best result (of Obama-McCain and Clinton-McCain polls) in each state, but says "the folks at VoteBoth are touting" it.

Charlie Cook looks at the poll averages and sees stability pointing to a close outcome in November.

Brenden Nyhan, citing Tom Holbrook's analysis, sees some value in presidential horse-race polls in May (via Crowley).

Gary Langer says John McCain's age is "an undeniable negative" with voters.

John Sides see a "leftward drift" in Jewish support for Democratic presidential candidates since 1988.

Brian Schaffner plots the Obama spreadsheet against reality.

Jay Cost charts Barack Obama's primary vote coalition.

Poblano shares his wish list for state presidential polling.

Tom Jensen sees differences in the racial composition of the North Carolina electorate using exit polls and voter files, also passes along the story of an RDD poll that sampled a talk radio call-in line.

Mark Memmott thought Tuesday was a "pretty good day for pollsters."

Alexis Madrigal maps the price of gas by county (via Sullivan)

Chris Sullentrop reports someone is polling Libertarians about potential candidates (including Tucker Carlson?) for the Libertarian nomination (via Gillespie via Sullivan).

 

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