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Bush Approval: CNN at 32%, Trend at 29.4%

Topics: George Bush

1BushApproval2ndTerm20070624.png

A new poll from CNN/ORC taken 6/22-24/07 finds approval at 32% and disapproval at 66%. With this new poll the approval trend estimate stands at 29.4%.

While 3 points above trend, this poll is in line with CNN's recent house effects of about +3 points, so is quite consistent with a trend at 29 or so.

The plots below show the usual diagnostics. There are no recent outliers, and no diagnostics to raise worries, so the approval trend seems to be continuing as recent polls have suggested.

2LastSixPolls20070624.png

3BushResiduals20070624.png

4BushFullTermRough20070624.png

5BootApproval20070624.png

6Sentitivity2ndTerm20070624.png

Cross-posted at Political Arithmetik.

 

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