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Bush Approval Falls to 28.3%

Topics: CBS , Gallup , George Bush

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President Bush's approval trend has taken a sharp downturn in recent weeks, to fall to a new low for the administration at 28.3%. This follows a lengthy period of stable approval at around 32-33%.

Recent polls from Gallup and AP/Ipsos put approval at 28%, a new low for the Gallup poll. Harris recently found approval at 26% while CBS News put approval at 28%. Pew similarly has approval at 28%, though the Diageo/Hotline result for registered voters (as opposed to adults in the other polls) has approval at 35%, the only recent poll over 30%.

While the President has taken a back seat to the primaries in recent months, his new approval slump reflects growing pessimism over the economy which has displaced the war in Iraq as the most important problem facing the country. Likewise the percent saying the nation is headed in the wrong direction has continued to grow in recent months, to a high of 81% in a recent CBS News poll.

Cross posted at Political Arithmetik

 

Comments
mago:

This election represents a fascinating clash between different theories. On the macro level, it's hard to imagine a worse environment for the incumbent party, as the current Administration is overwhelmingly considered a failure in every sphere, from the economy to foreign policy. The sense of disaster is so widespread that it could create the conditions for an election like 1932 or 1980.

On the other hand, at the 'micro' level the GOP has chosen a relatively well-liked candidate from the non-lunatic-fringe segment of the party, while the Democrats are engaged in a distracting and bitter nomination battle as the losing candidate strings the process along in the hope that her opponent will be raptured before the convention.

We'll see which approach wins out.

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Are you going to put the various Bush approval polls on Pollster.com (just as you put the primary polls up) - it'd be interesting to see how different measures (rolling average, Samplemiser etc) produce different results.

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lsmakc:

@MAGO AND THE_REAL_TRUTHINESS

so true... it's a "bitter nomination battle as the losing candidate strings the process along in the hope that her opponent will be raptured before the convention."

'raptured" i'm assuming this to mean beatified. talk about lunatics, that's a rare and delicious slip at best for those who find democracy toxic.

at worst, obama 'raptured' is just too much fun graphically to get past. i wish i could submit this lunacy to late night and design the graphic. hey, maybe i will...

let's see, i'll start with bare feet, maybe a few leather strips wound round his big toe... he'll carry his good books under arm, worn and tattered from over use, but oft quoted by his humble self... only of course to ensure royalties for his michelle, 'the love of my life!@#$%^" not for him. no never for this humble servant.


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mago:

Raptured means raptured. You mistake a joke for a slip, but if you're actually unfamiliar with the reference to the Apocalypse, you can google it.

Your bondage fantasies about Obama are not really appropriate to this venue.

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gjdodger:

One thing that's been consistent throughout the President's swan dive...after each downturn, although his popularity recovers somewhat, it never gets back to where it was previously. It's almost as if it was being determined by a series of discrete events, each one turning an additional group of Americans permanently away from him.

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Mike_in_CA:

this curve makes me nauseous. Looking back to 2005, where his approval was ~50%, just the amount he needed to win re-election, I wonder, what has REALLY happened between then and now that has turned off >20% of the public? And I'm at a loss. I never did understand how such an incompetent President like Bush was able to win re-election. It gives legitimacy to the "fear factor" in politics. Bush scared just enough Americans into voting for him. And then, when they knew everything would be "all right" they finally started to realize what a mistake it was.

Don't you wish we could go back to 2005 and show everyone THEN these numbers NOW?

Ugh. I'll never understand.

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cinnamonape:

Mike_in_CA,

I recall that Bush asked his friends in Saudi Arabia to turn up the spigot to stanch the rising prices at the pump. Reduced gas prices started kicking in September and were actually falling back about 25% of the years increase by the time of 2004 election.

That was back when we thought $2.25/gallon was insane.

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