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CA: 2010 Sen (Field 1/5-17)


Field Poll
1/5-17/10; 958 likely voters, 3.3% margin of error
202 likely Republican primary voters, 7.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Field release)

California

2010 Senate: Republican Primary (trends)
30% Campbell, 25% Fiorina, 6% DeVore

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
Boxer 48%, Campbell 38%
Boxer 50%, Fiorina 35% (chart)
Boxer 51%, DeVore 34% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barbara Boxer: 48 / 39 (chart)
Tom Campbell: 22 / 14
Carly Fiorina: 16 / 18
Chuck DeVore: 6 / 9

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Re-electing ma'am Boxer to another term? Do Californians never learn?

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Mark Ang:

FM - Live interviews. I think Boxer's support is overstated. Rasmussen shows a tossup.

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farleftandproud:

Yeah, I believe this Poll. Mass was such a shock though because when there is a Democratic leaning state I always round it off in favor of the Democrat, but in a Republican leaning state like Missouri or Texas I would always round it off in the GOP's favor. With the exception of Mass, that is how I have figured it.

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farleftandproud:

Don't get me wrong. Special elections for Democrats when there are lots of questions in the air are deadly. If Boxer were running against Fiorina this week, I am not sure she would make it. It works in the Dems favor when a GOP president isn't that popular as well. I think that more states need to wait until the interim senator's term is done. Wyoming did that a few years ago when a senator died.

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farleftandproud:

The problem with automated polls is the wrong person in the household could answer them. My mom could be a republican and I could take the call and give Obama pretty good approval. That is why I don't buy how affective they are.

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RaleighNC:

Color me skeptical...

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farleftandproud:

I wish all Democrats could be like Barbara. She explained the whole health care plan with the public option in plain English without confusing people and has a positive streak in her attitude. If she were on the finance committee with John Kerry and Bernie Sanders we would have passed health reform last December. The Dems on the finance committee should be ashamed of themselves and I doubt I will ever forgive them; Baucus is still one of the biggest contributors from big pharmaceuticals. If the GOP wants purity with tea party candidates over mainstream ones, I can say the same thing about the Dems. Kick the losers like Lieberman, Baucus Bayh out and recruit a new generation of progressives.

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Field Marshal:

The Progressive Era is done. It lasted a whole year and galvanized the country in such a huge way against it that the people will never vote it in again. And i say GOOD RIDDANCE!

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Stillow:

Once a GOP winner emerges fro mthe primary htis race will be very competitive. Boxer is barely at 50....and CA are masters of tax and spend politics which is getting very worn these days, just ask MA.

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Xenobion:

Barbara Boxer is no Marth Coakely and her competitors have far more problems than she does herself.

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Stillow:

Except for the fact that Boxer is a democrat which will be he rbiggest liability!

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Xenobion:

Except its CA where the republicans are the redest of the red and now lose statewide races all the time unless you're as pink as the Governator. Essentially I'm saying you have to be a republican married to a Kennedy to get elected statewide in that state and Boxer has been a pretty outstanding Senator in the state, probably better than Fienstien. Boxer has all the clout for environmental provisions making her a very powerful player. CA is about $$$

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Stillow:

Normally I may agree with you, but MA changes the entire game. If a republican can take TK's seat with HCR passage on the line, then Boxer can lose in CA.
Anyone with a D next to there name this fall is vulnerable.

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Stillow:

Normally I may agree with you, but MA changes the entire game. If a republican can take TK's seat with HCR passage on the line, then Boxer can lose in CA.
Anyone with a D next to there name this fall is vulnerable.

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Xenobion:

I don't doubt the vulnerability of Democrats in any race except Boxer's race won't be competitive with the lineup running the Republican primaries. Populism doesn't translate well in CA and if Republicans are going to run on that message they're only going to win Bakersfield/Fresno and lose the rest of the state. CA is an issues based state with a huge catholic/migrant population. Republicans have been dying on the platform of immigration lately in the state. The state overwhelmingly wants HCR vs. MA that already had it. The comparisons are stark but I'll give you the climate.

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