Pollster.com

Bye bye, Babs. Boxer is in deep, deep trouble not being able to do better than 45% against anyone and with a 51% unfavorable. Bet she never thought she would be this bad off right now.

While i don't think at this point ma'am Boxer will lose, it definitely has the possibility of being another Massachusetts.

Field is far more biased than any of the others. Especially having an unknown Tea party candidate that close in the polling. I think Rasmussen even had Boxer's favorability at 50/50

Campbell will likely be the nominee but Boxer will win 50% to 47%. This is going to be one expensive race.

Jeez, Tom Campbell is BEATING Boxer now?

We've got a better shot at this than I thought!

Farleft, field is not biased at all, you can say that about Ras but Field is known as California's gold standard for polling. Boxer need be concerned if she is shown behind in a field poll.

Actually, based on past record, Field is a strong pollster in CA. These numbers are terrible for Boxer. It will be a tough and expensive campaign and at this point I would give Boxer a slight edge.

What makes this election cycle tough for Dems in blue States is that social issues are not prominent on the national scene. Without the specter of Christian fundamentalism hanging around their necks, moderate Republicans are very potent in progressive States. All they have to do is run against the economic status-quo.

This is precisely why Scott Brown, McDonnel and Christie publicly stayed away from Palin and her Tea Party wackos. They knew where the action was at. They took their money and grassroots support privately and acted like they didn't know them in public.

This race has Scott Brown written all over it. Next to MA, this race will be the year's biggest upset when Campbell defeats Boxer. And I will tell you right now, he does it with a shift in the latino community towards conservatives.

If anything the Field Poll has a bias in favor of Democratic candidates, this poll is NO joke... and the fact is Boxer has been in major trouble against Tom Campbell (at least) since he got into the race...

Apparently Farleftandproud thinks any pollster showing Dems in trouble is biased.

The Field poll is the top pollster in California with a longstanding credible record and if anything has a very slight Democratic bias, both points made by other comments above.

If this poll uses the same likely voter model as the Brown-Whitman poll from yesterday, it's
45% Dem
35% GOP
20% non-partisan/other

State registration numbers are about the same for Dem, but Field has slightly higher GOP slightly lower other/no party. I guess they're expecting a more enthusiastic turnout from the Republicans in California.

I think I speak for many people here. I lurk but never post but today, I finally decided to.

Farleftandproud's posts are absolutely ridiculous. A simple request. Please lay off the sweeping broad generalizations and attack on polls that have any Democrat down.

It really does no one any favors.

This poll is way too early to generalize an election. In the case of California, they clearly have it wrong. Boxer has too strong of a track record to lose out there. Besides CA has a lot of wealthy liberals who will do everything possible to re-elect Boxer. She has been a great senator, and even if 2010 is a bad Democratic year she'll win. Feinstein won her first election in 1994 that terrible Democratic year.