Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC)
7/7-21/09; 2,501 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(PPIC: press release, full report)
Gov. Schwartzennegger: 28 / 59
Pres. Obama: 65 / 27
California Governor finds out voters love services. They just don't want to pay for them. California budget rules are crazy.
Posted on July 30, 2009 2:07 PM
Arnold found out playing governor is harder than playing a terminator. His role as governor will be ranked down there with other great Arnold performance such as Jingle All the Way or Last Action Hero....
CA has so many problems its probably beyond repair at this point.
Posted on July 30, 2009 2:27 PM
Unfortunately Stillow, as California goes, so goes the country. Lest you forget, it's still the seventh largest economy in the world. The numbers are unsurprising though, since sitting governors in any state with high unemployment are going to be stuck with dismal numbers, whether warranted or not. I am surprised that Obama's numbers continue to be consistently strong here.
Posted on July 30, 2009 2:55 PM
After the Davis disaster, Arnold came in with high hopes, he promised fiscal responsibility, smart spending, etc. We saw the oppositte, he didn't do anything to curb entitlement spending and kept the money flowing to everyone who wanted it.
The state is in real real bad shape. And they will probably elect a liberal to replace Arnold who himself is a liberal on spending, so nothing will change...the state will continue to destory itself with fiscal madness.
Posted on July 30, 2009 4:32 PM
It is true that Arnold is incompetent in wrestling the beast here in CA, but the beast is no other than the long time solid Democratic majority in CA legislative branches, which in turn is heavily controlled by interest groups. This state is also being parasited by inproportionally large number of illegal immigrants and welfare recepients comparing to other states in the US. The voters of CA also share the blame for being so naive and shallow about the state's fiscal policies. The change has to start from the voters recognizing fiscal responsibility and take action with their votes.
Posted on July 30, 2009 4:57 PM
The primary structural problem with California is that a 2/3 majority is required to pass any budget, which gives the 1/3 minority (in this case a shrunken, radicalized Republican party)effective veto power over the vast moderate majority. Combine with that the disastrous effect of Prop 13, which has resulted in the systematic under-financing of public infrastructure and extraordinary uneven distribution of the tax burden (newcomers pay more) and you have today's problem. You can't blame David of Arnold at this point. We need constitutional reform.
Posted on July 30, 2009 5:38 PM
You need to stop spending is what you need to do. You can try and blame the GOP, but your underlying issue is that you spend to much. You already have one of the highest tax burdens i nthe country....this isn't a problem with a minority party like the GOP, that is simply a sign of your denial and others o nthe left about what is really going on.
CA is a perfect example of the nanny state. Giving away to many benefits and taxing to high....Many people have left the state and taken there income and there taxes with them. Leaving a shrinkign tax base and a growing demand for nanny stat eentitlements which the state has gotten people hooked on.
Handouts are a good way to get elected, unfortunately they are unsustainable as CA is quickly finding out.......that state needs to slash entitlements and cut taxes on its citizens if they wishto recover fro mthe hole they have made for themselves. I know my parents who live there and are close to retirment age are leaving the state because the tax burden is to great....
Service are fine and dandy, but in the long run you simply cannot pay for a nanny state, there isn't enough money to do it. CA structural problem is spending and high taxes....NY is right behind them and they to spend to much and have to heavy a tax burden....the tax and spend theory simply doesn't work long term. States like CA will continue to erode until it outright collapses from its inability to meets its ifnancial oblgiations.
Posted on July 30, 2009 6:09 PM
Now this is how you conduct a poll. Large sample, live interview, and low margin of error. Rasmussen and PPP should pay attention to pollsters like these.
Posted on July 30, 2009 9:42 PM
I don't feel at all sorry for Californians. They have the govt they voted for.
OK, so it takes 2/3 to pass a budget. The voters themselves put in that requirement in a referendum. Of course the vote to change their constitution only required 50% + 1.
Gee, do you think they might have those two backwards.
As far as the rest of the nation following their lead, that is true in lots of way but not in fiscal matters, or even fiscal sanity.
We're not that darn dumb in any state I have ever lived in.
Posted on July 31, 2009 12:19 AM
Disagree with the comment that every poll should be like this. IVR polling is just as accurate and way cheaper than live interviewer polling, a sampling size of 500-600 is completely enough for me (I'd rather see 4 polls in different states with a sample of 500 likely voters than 1 poll with a sample of 2,000- the small increase in accuracy that you get isn't worth the decrease in the raw number of polls that would necessarily follow) and the margin of error obviously is derived from the sampling size, so - same point.
Posted on August 2, 2009 4:44 PM
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