Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

CO: 2010 Gov (PPP 3/5-8)

Topics: poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
3/5-8/10; 580 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Colorado

2010 Governor (trends)
50% Hickenlooper (D), 39% McInnis (R)

Favorable / Unfavorable
John Hickenlooper: 51 / 27
Scott McInnis: 28 / 27

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Ritter: 38 / 50 (chart)

 

Comments
Billy Chunge:

Rasmussen
3/4/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Colorado

2010 Senate (trends)
48% McInnis (R), 42% Hickenlooper (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Scott McInnis: 53 / 33
John Hickenlooper: 55 / 36

Pollster. Please just put an (R) for Rasmussen.

____________________

Xenobion:

Those cross tabs seem very promising for Hickenlooper. Although I believe the sample is a bit small. Good race to follow though.

____________________

Field Marshal:

I'll play the opposite of the liberals on this board....

PPP is a dem pollster and this far out is going to root for their candidate. They will adjust as they get closer to the election.

____________________

Stillow:

FM - Many of outside your state are depending on you to get CO back to the red column. You need to ensure both the governor and senator's races go red this year.......or we will have to kill you.

____________________

LordMike:

PPP has done a pretty bad job of "rooting" for our candidate so far... They've had the second greatest conservative house effect next to Rasmussen.

____________________

Field Marshal:

Will do Stillow.

LM,

Its all in the model they use. Don't sound like the other libs on the board and criticize the results because you don't like them. The likely voter IVF model tends to return results that favor the republican candidate. This has shown to be more accurate in some cases while not in others. If there was a full-proof method for polling, then all pollsters would use the same model.

____________________

BigMO:

I'm betting that this is probably an outlier. I can believe that this race is tight, but I doubt that Hickenlooper has much of a lead, if any. No matter how popular he may be in and around Denver--which is based on image not policy--I have a hard time believing that Rasmussen is that far off. I'm inclined to believe that it's more like McInnis by a point or two, which I believe will develop into a steady lead once Hickenlooper starts alienating voters with his liberal platform.

If Jane Norton is doing as well as she is, and three of the Democratic congressmen are vulnerable, and the state legislature is poised to go GOP, I'm going to still hold out hope that McInnis can win.

Colorado is a confusing state but I do think that it is fundamentally conservative. Maybe this election will prove me right (or wrong).

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR