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CO: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 3/4)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
3/4/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Colorado

2010 Senate (trends)
48% McInnis (R), 42% Hickenlooper (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Scott McInnis: 53 / 33
John Hickenlooper: 55 / 36

 

Comments
BigMO:

A seven-point swing in a month is pretty unusual, especially this far from Election Day. That would cause me to believe that McInnis' lead is probably somewhere between the seven point lead today and the one point defecit last month...so he's probably up by a few points. If Jane Norton ends up winning by the large spread that Rasmussen has her at then she'll probably carry McInnis along with her.

The really bad news for Hickenlooper here is that he's trailing BEFORE articulating his very liberal ideas to the voters. At this point it's still a popularity/name ID contestand the fact that he's losing it has to scare him, because it shows that voters are simply siding with the Republican because they're so angry with current Democratic leadership (Ritter's approval numbers are at about 35%).

Either way I still think the GOP sweeps into power in Colorado. The state is still pretty conservative and though it's always open and willing to voting for Democrats, I don't think this will be the year.

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BigMO -- One point you miss in your commentary: March is not November.

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Field Marshal:

Yeah, we still have another 8 months for the Dems to further implode.

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