Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

CO: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 5/11)

Topics: Colorado , poll

Rasmussen
5/11/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Colorado

2010 Governor
47% McInnis (R), 41% Hickenlooper (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Scott McInnis: 52 / 35
John Hickenlooper: 49 / 43

 

Comments
Paleo:

Hickenlooper is going to win this race going away. Razz is offbase for a change.

____________________

tjampel:

@Paleo:

"Hickenlooper is going to win this race going away. Razz is offbase for a change."

Can you educate us on why this is so? I'm not familiar with the dynamics of this race.


____________________

Paleo:

Hickenlooper is a popular mayor, well-respected in the state. McInnis is best known for his anti-environmental views and ravings about the "death tax." The only pollster to poll these two head-to-head, PPP, had Hickenklooper ahead by 11.

____________________

Field Marshal:

As someone who lives in Denver, i will tell you the REAL story with this race. McInnis is a western-sloper so he is at a disadvantage from the start. Hick is a fairly popular Denver mayor and has actually never run as a democrat before.

I would say this race is a tie right now. Hick will not play well in the suburbs, in El Paso County (Co Springs) and in the western slope but will do well in the downtown area up through Boulder to Ft Collins.

Hick owned a business where he hired illegal aliens to work. One of them shot and killed a cop. With the whole immigration debate raging, this will clearly hurt him.

McInnis is fairly unknown in the front range, and is very pro-environment despite what was written here earlier. In fact, the liberal Denver Post has praised him for his pro-environment policies during his time as a congressman.

In Co, Indies rule as there are equal registered Dems and Reps. It will be all about who gets the better message out.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

If he hired illegal aliens deliberately, he is probably done for as a candidate.

____________________

Field Marshal:

No one will know if he did it deliberately and i don't think it will mean he is done for as a candidate either. But i'm certain McInnis will be out there with that message.

Hick did have some great bars (he sold his interest when he became mayor) including the Cherry Cricket which i think makes the best burger in the country.

____________________

BigMO:

I love the arrogance of the Democrats and their assumption that this is Hickenlooper's race to win--in a terrible year for his party.

The truth is that this is probably the most accurate look at the race right now. McInnis has led by six for the past three months, and that's about as consistent and clear as you get in polling. That means that, alas, Scott McInnis is quite likely winning by six points. If a poll says over and over and over again that McInnis is up by six, well, by golly, he's probably up by six.

Hickenlooper is a fairly popular mayor (although his statewide unfavorables are surprisingly high), but that's the milquetoast, community personality, not the liberal job-killer that is closest to reality. Add to that the political tenor in the state which is very conservative. It's a different state than a couple of years ago and people are thinking along the same lines that they were in 2002, when the state had a Republican governor, two GOP senators, five of seven congressional seats for the GOP, and a GOP state house and senate.

Don't be surprised when, after November, Colorado looks very similar the Republican-dominated state that is has often been.

____________________

BigMO:

I love the arrogance of the Democrats and their assumption that this is Hickenlooper's race to lose--in a terrible year for his party.

The truth is that this is probably the most accurate look at the race right now. McInnis has led by six for the past three months, and that's about as consistent and clear as you get in polling. That means that, alas, Scott McInnis is quite likely winning by six points. If a poll says over and over and over again that McInnis is up by six, well, by golly, he's probably up by six.

Hickenlooper is a fairly popular mayor (although his statewide unfavorables are surprisingly high), but that's the milquetoast, community personality, not the liberal job-killer that is closest to reality. Add to that the political tenor in the state which is very conservative. It's a different state than a couple of years ago and people are thinking along the same lines that they were in 2002, when the state had a Republican governor, two GOP senators, five of seven congressional seats for the GOP, and a GOP state house and senate.

Don't be surprised when, after November, Colorado looks very similar the Republican-dominated state that is has often been.

____________________

Field Marshal:

Governor in the state of Colorado is a very restricted job. They have little power to do much. The budget is basically on cruise control because of TABOR and the legislature is part-time so the outcome of the race is inconsequential to me at least. Hopefully the GOP wins back the senate this year and can put a stop to the tax hikes the Dems have been instituting on EVERYTHING.

____________________

tjampel:

FM

It's a pleasure when you (or anyone else here) make(s) intelligent and insightful comments like this. I've actually learned something. Makes no difference if I agree with you or not. If there's a little mutual respect then we actually have a conversation rather than a screaming match.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR