CO: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 12/8)
Emily Swanson | December 11, 2009
Rasmussen
12/8/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
Rasmussen release
National
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 49 (chart)
Gov. Ritter: 47 / 51 (chart)
2010 Senate (trends)
Norton (R) 45%, Romanoff (D) 34%
Norton (R) 46%, Bennet (D) 37%
Wiens (R) 41%, Romanoff (D) 40%
Wiens (R) 42%, Bennet (D) 41%
Buck (R) 41%, Romanoff (D) 39%
Buck (R) 42%, Bennet (D) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable
Ken Buck: 36 / 26
Michael Bennet: 39 / 46 (chart)
Andrew Romanoff: 44 / 35
Tom Wiens: 37 / 30
Jane Norton: 49 / 32
Comments
Numbers look surprisingly good for Rasmussen... I'm sure he'll do a "followup" poll in a few days to "correct" the error...
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:03 AM
Large margin of error with only 500 respondents. Seems to be on par with other polls, but would like to see a larger sample size to bring down that 4.5% MoE.
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:16 AM
Hopefully the less electable GOP Candidate will get the nomination.
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:31 AM
When Rasmussen has a poll like this in a conservative state like Colorado I am not surprised, but when they pull the same nonsense in NY or Delaware, or NH showing GOP leads, I more or less think they are full of crap. It is clearly operated by conservatives, and they probably are scientific polls, but only among the percentage of each demographic group they interview.
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:38 AM
Being a resident of this state, the people here love Jane Norton. She will easily win the nomination.
The question is who will she face. Ritter appointed Bennet when Salazar became interior secretary. Many on the left despised the choice. Romanoff was the speaker of the house but is a far lefty and if he wins the primary, will not win the general. Could be a bruising primary on the democratic side.
LM, i wouldn't be surprised if those numbers aren't too low for the Rep candidate.
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:38 AM
Emily,
Wiens is a republican. There is a D next to him on the fourth line under Senate. Have a good weekend!
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:42 AM
FieldMarshal -- Thanks for the correction and the weekend wishes. Hope you have a nice weekend as well. -Emily
Posted on December 11, 2009 10:50 AM
Funny to see the Libs happy with rasmussen's numbers here.
I agree, the Republican being up by 9 on the incumbant dem is probably about as good as you all can expect.
Posted on December 11, 2009 4:42 PM
Any guesses on the over/under for Rep pick ups in 2010 senate races.
Before health care I would have said 3 now four months later I would put it at 7.
Posted on December 11, 2009 4:47 PM
Obama at 50/49 in a CO Rasmussen poll is a remarkably good result.
Posted on December 11, 2009 5:15 PM
"Before health care I would have said 3 now four months later I would put it at 7."
You're assuming that the democrats will lose all 7 of their close races and win none of the open seats. I find that unlikely, especially since OH and MO have pretty decent dem candidates. DE and IL are going to be hard for any republican, and PA is going to be hard for Toomey, especially if Specter loses the primary. I see a net loss of 5 to be the worst case scenario. More likely a net loss of 3.
Posted on December 11, 2009 5:26 PM
Ny,Nv,CO,AR,CT,DE,IL,and PA all look pretty good for the GOP now.
CA could be competitive and ND if Hoeven runs. So I think 10 is the high mark for Reps in 2010.
Open Gop in MO,OH,and NH. Solid Gop leads in 2 of those.
over/under still a solid 7.
Posted on December 11, 2009 9:29 PM
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