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CO: Obama 52, McCain 42 (PPP-10/8-10)

Topics: PHome

Public Policy Polling (D)
10/8-10/08; 1,331 LV, margin of error +/- 2.7%
Mode: IVR

Colorado
Obama 52, McCain 42
(9/20-21: Obama 51, McCain 44)

Sen: Udall (D) 49, Schaffer (R) 39
(9/20-21: Udall (D) 48, Schaffer (R) 40)

Full results pdf

 

Comments
Dave:

Hopefully that will be enough of a lead to counter the voter purges in CO.

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IndependentThinker:

It's just too good to be true
I hope I am wrong

Obama/Biden 08

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Paul:

Adjusted for 2004 exit poll:
Gender: Obama +10
Party ID: Obama +2
Age: Obama +10
Race: Obama +8

Note: Hispanic vote changed 38% since last poll (McCain down 17, Obama up 14)

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BOOMFAIL:

Slip slidin' away
Slip slidin' away
You know the nearer your destination
The more you're slip slidin' away

Buh Bye.

Landslide Baby Landslide

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Paul:

Sunday Zogby and DailyKos are released:

Sunday - Zogby: Obama now +6.1, yesterday was +3.8
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1583

Sunday - One day changes in DailyKos http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/10/12

Overall: Obama +1
South: Obama +1
Midwest: Obama +1
Age 18-29: Obama +1
Age 45-59: Obama +1
Age 60+: Obama +2
Men: Obama +1
Women: Obama +1
Democrats: Obama +1
Independents: Obama +1
Whites: Obama +1
Other Race: Obama +1

Adjusted for 2004 exit poll:
By region: Obama +13
By age: Obama +12
By gender: Obama +13
By party ID: Obama +4 (I am using D37, R37, I26)
By race: Obama +9


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Jack:

Thank goodness CO and NM are in the bag. It's insurance in case OH slips away (although not likely anyways)

Obama/Biden 08

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JFactor:

Colorado looks suprisingly strong. Obama will in all likelyhood carry the state. Jack is right, if NM and CO are in the bag like it seems Obama is 100% guaranteed winner.
___________________________________________
http://www.internationalpoliticstoday.com

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pbcrunch:

CO was concerning me a bit; I thought it might have been losing its Dem convention bounce but this poll from a highly-rated pollster makes me happy.

I would like to see some more polls from MO, IN, GA, and WV now. With NV, CO, NM, and IA looking very strong and FL, OH, VA, and NC looking relatively safe, those states are the next level for a landslide!

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MileHigh:

CO is a strange place; probably why I stay here. Denver and Boulder are very liberal. Colorado Springs is conservative beyond belief. I live 10 miles west of Denver in Jefferson County, and I would be surprised if my county goes blue, but I think it will be extremely close (1-2%). Most of the state is red, white, and rural, with the possible exception of some of the resort towns. There is a large hispanic population in metro areas, and rural areas in the south that are breaking for Obama. I think it will be Obama by 4%.

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A closer look at this poll shows that 41% who answered it consider themselves Democrats, and 37% Republicans. Colorado is not 41/37/22, rather, historically the GOP has the edge and unaffiliated voters outweigh Dems. The breakdown shows no signs of "weighting" for this imbalance. I would like to believe Obama and Udall in a walk, but this poll glosses over an important fact, and might not reflect the whole picture.

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MileHigh:

Gsrussi-
Udall has this won, not positive about Obama yet.

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Adrian B:

I think Udall will help Obama which may be why the lead is this high, but Colorado has been leaning Obama for ages, albeit only in single figures until this poll (unlike the swings back and forth in OH, FL and VA).

I think now NM, IO & CO are in the bag and FL, NV, and VA look highly likely for Obama. It only remains to be seen whether OH, NC, MO and IN fall as well.

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nathan:

@MileHigh:

Very accurate representation of my state. I'm in Maine right now (in the military) but I'm voting in Jefferson county (Ken Karyl area), and, after reading a recent Newsweek article I think Obama has a chance in both Jefferson and Adams counties.

As far as the state, Boulder is very liberal, and so is Denver, but you're forgetting the Denver suburbs - Douglas county is very conservative, and has a sizable number of people in it now.

Colorado is basically a sea of red with blue islands - Denver, Boulder, and the resort towns like Aspen and Breckenridge... but the populated parts are blue. If it weren't for Colorado Springs, Colorado would be a blue state.

Obama will carry Colorado.

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MileHigh:

@Nathan-

As a veteran (B CO 1/15INF in Kitzingen, Germany), I thank you for your service. It's nice to hear from another Coloradoan, especially a service member! Believe me, I didn't forget about Tancredo country (Douglas County). I stay awake at night and worry about those loons. I agree that Obama has a chance in Jefferson, but I think he will carry Adams County easily. I can't get a read on Arapahoe County. Adams has a much larger working class and hispanic population than Jefferson. Take it from a Northglenn boy, Adams will deliver. I lived in Adams County 26 years before moving to Denver and now Jefferson County. I'm most curious to see how Larimer County plays out. I think Dems have had more progress there than anywhere. I think it would be a great idea for McCain and Caribou Barbie to spend some time and money in Boulder, Aspen, and Capital Hill (Denver neighborhood). We're proud of you, Nathan! Stay safe.

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