Column: Definites for Sestak
Mark Blumenthal | May 24, 2010
Topics: Arlen Specter , Joe Sestak , Likely Voters , National Journal column , Pennyslvania
My column for this week looks back at how the polls performed in Pennsylvania's Democratic primary for Senate and one potentially overlooked finding: Several polls showed Joe Sestak doing better as pollsters narrowed their samples to the most likely of voters. Please click through and read it all.
And special thanks for Chris Borick at Muhlenberg University for providing the data featured in the column.
By Mark Blumenthal | May 24, 2010 10:35 AM | Permalink | Comments (3) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
I think that a conclusion you can reach is that when polls have undecideds in the 15% range, they aren't going to come anywhere close. Another conclusion is that primaries are highly unpredictible.
Another factor to consider is that Pennsylvania is a closed primary state. How many of those people polled didn't know they would not be eligible to vote for or against Specter?
Posted on May 24, 2010 3:34 PM
I accused Senator vitter the other day of not doing very much to respond to the oil spill; I stand corrected. I actually did see David Vitter giving a press conference with Jinal and Landreu. I stand corrected that he really seemed sincere today and didn't come across as cocky or playing the blame again.
Posted on May 24, 2010 9:15 PM
Toomey I don't think will win. Even if 2010 isn't a good Democratic year, I think Sestak will win by a small percentage.
Sestak should be forthright about what person in the administration suggested he step down and be offered a cabinet post to let Arlen Specter win the primary. If the Obama administration did that, I would be very disappointed.
Posted on May 24, 2010 9:19 PM
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