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CT: Simmons 48 Dodd 39 (Quinnipiac 7/16-20)


Quinnipiac
7/16-20/09; 1,499 registered voters,2.5% margin of error
612 Democrats, 4% margin of error
384 Republicans, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews

(Quinnipiac: Rell Approval release, 2010 Senate release)

Connecticut

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Rell: 65 / 30 (chart)
Sen. Lieberman: 46 / 46 (chart)
Sen. Dodd: 42 / 52 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 63 / 32 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Dodd (D): 40 / 50 (chart)
Rob Simmons (R): 39 / 12
Sam Caligiuri (R): 12 / 4
Merrick Alpert (D): 3 / 1
Tom Foley (R): 17 / 5
Peter Schiff (R): 7 / 3

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
Dodd 52%, Alpert 18% (trends)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
Simmons 42% Foley 5%, Caligiuri 5% (trends)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
Simmons 48%, Dodd 39% (chart)
Dodd 42%, Caligiuri 40%
Dodd 42%, Foley 42%
Dodd 43%, Schiff 38%

 

Comments
Stillow:

Like Corzine, I am assuming you Dems think Dodd is in good shape......

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ThatMarvelousApe:

The only comment besides yours in the last NJ thread said that things were moving towards Christie, so I'm not sure what you're referring to.

With that said, there are better hobbies than trolling at windmills.

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Stillow:

Did you hit your head this morning?

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Field Marshal:

There is a gallup poll out today that says that 59% are worried that the government is spending too much and becoming too intrusive into our lives. This is the republican platform for next year. Though i don't think things will swing enough for the repubs to capture the house or senate, it will be a good starting point. The governors races are more promising for the reps.

Things are shaping up to be a repeat of '04 - ' 06. Bush won but only because of a weak dem contender, same as last year. Over the next few years, the repubs went on to lose significant seats in congress. Look for the same to happen to the Dems.

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conspiracy:

Obama only won because McCain was week? Kernals of truth but much wishful thinking.

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Stillow:

Well McCain was weak, which is why so many conservatives stayed home....but there wa s no way a R was goign to win...the anti Bush mood and the historical trend of chaning parties after 8 years combined to make it impossible for an R to win.

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conspiracy:

Some truth to that Stillow. A more conservative Repub nominee may have brought out more conservatives but Obama would have crushed even more among indies. The final result wouldn't have been much different.

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Stillow:

Not sure abot that, even indy's if pressed will lean left or rightt, and by taking gallups numbers showing many more conservatives than libs, if you pushed the indy's they'd probably split along those same percentages. Bush angered the indy's that is why he left them...if you look at the trend, obama is bleeding indy support now...

Hmmm, maybe Indy's are just impossible to please??

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Stillow:

...and don't forget, the country typically does not elect liberals to the presidency, not since Carter....and that was following Watergate...this tiem aorund it was a severe recession....without the recession I am not sure Obama would have won, just to liberal for the country...that can be found in support for his policies not being as high as his personal numbers.

Look at health care, its Democrats who are holding this thing up, not the GOP....your side contros everything, even the super majoirty in the Senate, so htis is Dems hesitant to go along with such a liberal agenda....

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conspiracy:

"Hmmm, maybe Indy's are just impossible to please??"

I would agree with that. Still, Obama only narrowly carried them. For two reasons - they lean conservative because Dem ID went up under Bush and because McCain had a reputation for not being a normal Republican.

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ronin:

Go away Chris Dodd. And take Arlen Specter with you.

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IdahoMulato:

Wishful thinking. The most important thing is for the economy to shape up next year. Americans have short memory. Fortunes will change unless things stand the same by end of next year.

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