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Daily Roundup 12.12.06


  • A new ABC News/Washington Post poll finds 36% percent of Americans approve Bush's job performance and 28% approve his handling of Iraq. (ABC story, Post story, results)

  • A CBS poll released last night (story, full results) shows 62% of Americans saying sending troops to Iraq was "a mistake." 60% of Americans also never believe Iraq will become a stable Democracy.

  • The latest USA Today/Gallup Poll (story, full results) reveals 76% of Americans saying Iraq is in a civil war. In addition, more Americans trust the Iraq Study Group than Pres. Bush in recommending the "right thing for the United States to do in Iraq." (Gallup analysis on job approval, Iraq)

  • Last night's SurveyUSA automated poll for TX-23 shows Rep. Henry Bonilla (R) leading Ciro Rodriguez (D) by four points (51% to 47%).

  • A new Rasmussen Reports automated survey shows Sen. Hillary Clinton (D) leading Gov. Mitt Romney (R) 48-40 in a presidential contest. The survey also found 78% of Americans are willing to vote for a woman President.

 

Comments
Gary Kilbride:

Score an L for SurveyUSA. Ciro Rodriguez wins handily, ousting 7-term incumbent Henry Bonilla and lifting the Democratic House net to +30.

Most likely a simple case of motivation belonging to the winning camp. With the House long gone, Republicans apparently weren't enthused about saving one seat.

That's why you have to give Democrats extreme credit for fighting for Mary Landrieu's seat in the '02 runoff. She may not be the ideal Democrat but senate control would be flopped next cycle if Democrats had been shocked and disheartened after the November '02 flop, and allowed Suzanne Haik Terrell to steal that seat. Many handicappers I know who emphasize motivation expected Ciro to win tonight since they doubted Republicans would show up after the results of a month ago, but many of the same people predicted Terrell would win for the same reason four years ago. It's never been emphasized enough that Democrats did a terrific job holding the seat in '02. And Landrieu could easily find herself in another runoff in '08, this time in a vastly different Katrina-shaped Louisiana.

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