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DailyKos/R2000: KY, MN, MT

Topics: PHome

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Minnesota (10/14-15, n=600 likely voters, +/-4%)
Obama 52, McCain 39
Sen: Franken (D) 41, Coleman (R) 39, Barkley (I) 18

Montana (10/15-16, n=500 likely voters, +/-4.5%)
McCain 49, Obama 45
Gov: Schweitzer (D) 57, Brown (R) 40

Kentucky (10/14-16, n=600 likely voters, +/-4.%)
McCain 53, Obama 39
Sen: McConnell (R) 46, Lunsford (D) 42

 

Comments
Timmeh:

I think those MN and KY numbers be switched around.

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Timmeh:

I think those KY and MN numbers should be switched around.

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zotz:

This says a 19 point lead for McCain in Minnesota. Hmmmm...

I think maybe the Pollster dudes are partying a little too hard Saturday nights. The hangovers are affecting their work.

Frankin is doing good. Coleman must be scared sh*tless!

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DTM:

For those having a heartattack, it is O52-M39 in MN, and M53-O39 in Kentucky.

Interesting numbers in Montana, by the way, somewhat confirming North Dakota being in play as well.

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cinnamonape:

Interesting as well that Franken is again leading Coleman...though v. close...and that McConnell v. Brown result may result in the DNC putting some money into that race.

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ohiosurprise:

Kentucky has a 20% Democratic registration advantage, making McCain's lead all the more remarkable. I expect it will tighten, but not nearly enough.

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laguna_b:

If Boomshak sees those MN numbers he will get an instant erection....only HE would beleive they were not reversed....

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crumbtrail:

Yet another pollster typo. I really think it's time to get a copy editor.

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laguna_b:

@DTM
"DTM:

For those having a heartattack, it is O52-M39 in MN, and M53-O39 in Kentucky.

Interesting numbers in Montana, by the way, somewhat confirming North Dakota being in play as well.
"

What if they reversed ALL the numbers today and O was AHEAD in MT???

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sunnymi:

@ohiosurprise, you said "Kentucky has a 20% Democratic registration advantage"

So does WV, but in both states just about 70% or under of Dems support Obama.

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nmetro:

Governor Schweitzer may be helping Barack Obama; dur to his popularity. Also, the poll does not show the third party effect, which is benefiting barack Obama. I saw an interview on CNN with Governor Schweitzer, ebfore the economic meltdown and McCain had a double digit lead. So, the race is not a statistical tie in Montana.

By the way, Montana is changing, as more people are moving into the settle from California. Also, Billings is trying to become a "medical research hub" and is attracting medical professionals from across the country.

As for the numbers for Minnesota and Kentucky above, the presidential numbers are indeed reversed.

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laguna_b:

Palin was a real THUD on SNL last night....I bet she would make a a decent PTA President if she could keep her looney religious stuff away....nice lady for a bake sale....but a bit of a stretch even as mayor....

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HillaryForMcCain:

To my fellow dems that supported Hillary:

An Obama victory will be an end to Hillary's chances for becoming President. Never forget how we were treated by his campaign. If McCain wins, there is no way we can lose in 4 years. We will win every state...guaranteed.

As difficult as it may be, please vote for McCain. I have heard from many in the party that Hillary will continue to voice support for Obama but we must realize this is what she has to do. Hillary will serve our party much better in the long run. Obama will be a disaster and guarantee Republicon control for years to come.

We've waited 8.. We can wait 4 more.

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K Johnson:

John MCain lost this election with his erratic style

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Commander_King:

I voted for Hillary in the primaries but I sure as hell would never vote for McCain. Obama/Biden 08

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Traynor84:

I think HillaryforPalin is spamming all the polls with a cut and paste "don't vote for the person I didn't vote for" message. We get it, your person lost in the primaries and you're pissed. I'll be civil, I hate reading the comments on here when people are just being rude for the sake of being rude, but the least you could have done was to type something different. How much is the McCain campaign paying you to paste this stuff onto these boards? Regardless, Obama is gonna win. Just ask Tucker Carlson. ^^

Maybe in four years, you can coax Clinton into running against President Obama in the primaries (the same way Kennedy did with Carter)... and we'll cross that bridge when we come to it. For now, vote in your interests.

Vote Obama.

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zen:


If Obama loses due to people like you,
Don't expect that obama supporters will vote for hillary in DEM primary in any future....
She knows it, that's why she is so hard working for Obama...
My guess is Hillary really doesn't like Sarah to be a VP also...
I saw her campaigning for obama these days, she is really into it...

And she can still run for POTUS in 2016, she will be only 68 years old, 4 years younger than Maccain's age.

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zen:

@HillaryForMcCain,
If Obama loses due to people like you,
Don't expect that obama supporters will vote for hillary in DEM primary in any future....
She knows it, that's why she is so hard working for Obama...
My guess is Hillary really doesn't like Sarah to be a VP also...
I saw her campaigning for obama these days, she is really into it...

And she can still run for POTUS in 2016, she will be only 68 years old, 4 years younger than Maccain's age.

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Traynor84:

Agreed Zen, Biden has said he wouldn't want to be President after being Vice President (I read this in an interview somewhere months ago) meaning BY 2016 there will be an opening for the Dem. slot, and Clinton should be able to take it then. We can all get what we want. My concern is that if we elect McCain now we won't have a country to fight for in 4 (or 8) years.

I like McCain, don't get me wrong. I'm definitely a liberal, but I don't hate the guy. I just don't support him... and I fear the effects of his policies being implemented.

I'm not scared though. I read these polls every day. I watch the trends. I can see the writing on the wall, my guy is winning, and I'll keep working right up until election day for him (Obama), just like I hope the rest of you will.

Remember, it isn't enough to talk about it on Pollster, we need to get out there and make a difference. Vote early, canvass, phone bank, and donate anything you can (even if its only $5)... it isn't just about the Presidency any more, we need to grab some of these Senate seats, and I want Bachman out of congress.

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laguna_b:

Biden is 65, in 4 years he will likely retire giving the VP mantle to the NEXT 8 year Democratic president....could be Hillary...that is her BEST hope.

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couseydee:

Hey pollster- fix these numbers! I don't want people to think my Minnesota is red!

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couseydee:

And while you're at it, turn Minnesota a nice shade of navy blue.

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bill kapra:

@hillaryformccain

Nice, another piece of work from the gang in the bullpen.

There are three or four rooms that smell of takeout food and b.o. where paid republican nerds dream up online personae. Not altogether unlike the sweatshops where Chinese teenagers play WOW for swag in order to sell it on ebay.

There is no conceivable universe in which democrats, Hillary supporters or not, would vote for the McCain/Palin ticket just to give her another chance in 2012.

Say what you want about democratic activists but they aren't suicidal. There is no way on God's green earth that we'd put two new Scalitos on the court, continue absurd Iraq policies and, potentially, bomb-bomb-bomb bomb-bomb-Iran just to make it more likely that one of the good gals made it to the W.H.

Everyone focus. You are being targeted by a (relatively) sophisticated effort to manipulate the blogosphere. The best possible response: Shun.

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kerrchdavis:

If McCain and Palin win, there won't be a country left for Hilary to take over.

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zotz:

HillaryForMcCain-
"An Obama victory will be an end to Hillary's chances for becoming President."

I voted for Clinton in the primaries. There were things I disliked about both candidates but I liked Hillary's chances better than Obama's. Obama ran a better campaign than Hillary. Her strategy was wrong. Her staff fought among themselves and she herself showed character flaws. She started out being overconfident and she got more and more angry as her mistakes piled up. Then came the recriminations and the PUMAs that hated Obama more than they loved the principles that Hillary stood for. Seeing those wackos made me an Obama supporter. A lot has been said about Hillary's mistreatment at the hands of Obama supporters.

I believe the the BIGGEST INSULT to Hillary would be to assume that she wants four more years of disasterous Republican rule that would result in more terrible health care, more tax cuts for the upper class, a right wing Supreme Court that definitely will overturn Roe v. Wade, all in order to satisfy her personal ambition. People with the integrity and dedication of the Clintons do not deserve to have their legacy sullied by people like HillaryForMcCain.

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Basil:

Hillary needs to get real about how misguided her campaign became. Until she does, she can't be presidential.

Fortunately for Obama, Hillary's attacks innoculated him against McCain's own smarmy campaign.

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C.S.Strowbridge:

DAMNIT!!!!

Ron Paul is on the Ticket in Montana. Why don't any pollsters include him in their polls?

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C.S.Strowbridge:

HillaryForMcCain:
"To my fellow dems that supported Hillary:
An Obama victory will be an end to Hillary's chances for becoming President."

Two points...

1.) I bet you are not a Democrat.
2.) If Obama doesn't win, it will be the end of the Clinton's legacy, for both of them.

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saywhat90:

sorry hillaryformccain but if barack doesnt win it will be a setback for the dem party. it is not easy to remove an incmbent. mccain would have to do worse than bush and that would be hard for him to do.

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common sense:

Please people : HillaryforMCCain is a fraud. I'll bet you that he is a inebriated GOP fan who thinks that this is the way to turn the election around. Also next time you post to Boom - ask him why his mom called Obama a socialist.

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Mike In Maryland:

E V E R Y O N E ! ! !

Do
Not
Feed
The
Trolls

DNFTT

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DCDemocrat:

My sister lives near Missoula. She tells me that she sees quite a few bumper stickers up there, "Another Republican for Obama."

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HA! More BAD NEWS for McShame - Montana just went yellow! I LOVE IT!

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CTPonix4BHObama:

Hill4McCain

I would like to know why a devout Hillary supporter would have such little faith in their candidate that they believe Hillary could not run in 8 more years.

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