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Really, Really Cold in DC "Outliers"

Topics: Outliers Feature

Ben Smith quotes David Patterson saying he pays no attention to polls on Caroline Kennedy.  

Kathy Frankovic reviews the highs and lows of the Bush's approval rating.

Gary Langer condemns online, opt-in panel surveys.

PPP looks at how high African-American turnout impacted races in North Carolina, teases new polls in Ohio and NC next week.

Mark Mellman advises Democrats to deliver.

David Hill is surprised that Jeb Bushed passed on the Senate race.

David Winston warns Barack Obama that honeymoons don't last.

Michael McDonald reports that 30% of all votes in the presidential election were cast early.

Andrew Gelman says state-by-state vote swings aren't what they used to be.

Brendan Nyhan reports yet more evidence of the experimental revolution.

David Brown assesses the threat posed by cell phones to health surveys (via Agiesta).

SurveyUSA reports 9% of the State of New York planning to "go to Washington for the inauguration."

 

Comments
Vicente Duque:


Ranking of Early Voting States. These Early Birds Strongly favored the Democrats. And will continue favoring Obama and the Democratic Party

Data from the "United States Election Project" of Michael McDonald. Link provided by Pollster.com on top of this page.

I reorganize and manipulate the Statistics to produce a Ranking of "Early Birds"

The Ranking of Early Voter States :

Oregon 100%
Washington 89.2%
Colorado 78.9%
Nevada 66.9%
New Mexico 62.3%
Norht Carolina 60.6%
Tennessee 59.2%
Georgia 53.1%
Arizona 52.9%
Florida 51.8%
California 44.8%
Texas 44.0%
Hawai 38.5%

Conclusion :

Early Voting is going to strongly increase in Next Elections.

Those Early Voting States strongly favor the Democratic Party and Obama.

And they will continue favoring these politicians.

Those states have plenty of Minorities which are a big and important part of the Obama Base. Even if they are "Republican" some of them are in danger of becoming blue.

All what the Obama Coalition has to do to preserve them is this :

1) Not to offend those voters ( Minorities )

2) Just be Just. Just be fair to them. Just acknowledge their existence.

3) Obama does not have to prefer them or pamper them. Do not do that.

4) Those are the poorer people. So work for Economic Recovery and Employment.

5) It would be nice if the expenses of wars could be diminished but it depends on many factors, not all of them under control.

6) Do not open Pandora Boxes so as to alienate those voters. Better to have good insurance policies ( for next elections ).

Prophesizing.com

Milenials.com

Vicente Duque

____________________



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