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DE: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 1/25)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
1/25/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Delaware

2010 Senate (trends)
56% Castle (R), 27% Coons (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Coons: 47 / 30
Mike Castle: 66 / 25

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 49 (chart)
Gov. Markell: 57 / 36 (chart)

 

Comments
Timmeh:

This is a state Obama won by 25 points in 2008. There's no way his approval is that low among likely voters. This poll seems fishy to me.

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Lala Hernandez:

Timmeh wins the "Denial" and "Dumbest comment" awards. Did you not see the Massachusetts results? Or should we just crawl under the rock and pretend everyone still loves Obama? Sorry, the novelty has worn out.

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Lala Hernandez:

Timmeh wins the "Denial" and "Dumbest comment" awards. Did you not see the Massachusetts results? Or should we just crawl under the rock and pretend everyone still loves Obama? Sorry, the novelty has worn out.

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CUWriter:

Yeah well Massachusetts went red too. It's pretty obvious by now that the electorate for Nov. 2010 is far more conservative than the electorate of Nov. 2008 simply because more young people are disengaged and disaffected conservatives and indies who either didn't vote or went Obama are very much engaged now. I'm sure Obama's favorability would be in the mid 50s, but his job approval sitting at 50 seems about right with LVs. If you went to all adults, however, I'm guessing the favorability is around 60 and approval is around 55.

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Farleftandproud:

It is way too early to speculate on the 2010 elections right now. Mass, NJ and VA were certainly concerning, but it is difficult to compare special elections to regular elections, regarding turnout. Americans love to vote in local elections especially in big cities, and it is way too early to assume the Obama administration and the house democrats won't accomplish anything between now and next November. It is 9 months away and Obama is not a stupid man. I believe he has a strategy in place, but I still think that Harry Reid should follow Dodd in retirement, and have a new face on the Democratic ticket.

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Farleftandproud:

Being a insider who volunteered on the Coakley Campaign, she was a horrible candidate. She didn't know how to spell and her public relations was terrible. If you are lazy and don't have the energy to greet people and traval all corners of the state, it isn't a mystery why she lost.

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Farleftandproud:

Governor Markell Should run for the senate. Don't know how long he has been governor, but his approval is pretty good compared to many governors in other states.

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BH:

Farleft...all fair points in your last post, except that it's "Massa-freaking-chusetts." Coakley wasn't a good candidate, but this is a state that elects horrible Democratic candidates in national, statewide elections by 20+ points, and has happily done so for the last 38 years. I think it's more than fair to assume that the 2010 electorate will not split 37D-32R-29I and that the Ds and Rs will narrow quite a bit in early Nov.

Your earlier turnout argument doesn't wash either, as these special elections experienced turnout percentages consistent with typical mid-term elections thanks to Obama's attempts to try and rescue Corzine, Deeds and Coakley.

The landscape, as of right now, is extremely ugly for the Dems. If unemployment doesn't turn by June and July when voters start to solidfy how they'll vote, the Reps. take back the House, perhaps even the Senate.

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