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DE-Sen: 49% Coons (D), 40% O'Donnell (R), 5% Castle (Rasmussen 9/26)

Topics: 2010 Elections , Castle , Coons , Delaware , O'Donnell , poll , Senate

Rasmussen
9/26/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Delaware

2010 Senate
49% Coons (D), 40% O'Donnell (R), 5% Castle (chart)

 

Comments
StatyPolly:

Nice try, Scottie!

Castle aint even running. Yet.

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Field Marshal:

If Ras was really a right-wing, Fox News shill as some people amazingly think, he would have had Castle around 20% to entice him to run.

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Farleftandproud:

yeah, nice try Scott; besides, I think Castle won't bother because he would likely still take away enough GOP votes, that he wouldn't win, and neither would O'Donnell. Alaska is heavily conservative, so Murkowski may still have a chance.

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Gopherguy:

Good point FM.

I'm not implying anything by saying this, I'm just simply curious.

So, why would Rass poll Castle when he's not running, but not poll Lazio in the New York poll last week when he is running? You would think it'd be better to poll the guy running.

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Bob in SJ:

OOh, scary. This should be enough to keep Castle from running, if nothing else.

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Bob in SJ:

OOh, scary. This should be enough to keep Castle from running, if nothing else.

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StatyPolly:

"So, why would Rass poll Castle when he's not running, but not poll Lazio in the New York poll last week when he is running? You would think it'd be better to poll the guy running."

Ras did not poll Lazio because Ras is not simply a deadly accurate pollster, he is clairvoyant. He knew Lazio was gonna drop out.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/09/27/AR2010092702431.html

Maybe he knows Castle is gonna drop in.

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JJC:

If Castle enters the race than O'Donnell's chance of winning rises significantly.

Castle would get more than 5%. Rasmussen didn't put his name as an option. So people had to specifically mention him in the pollster, despite the fact he has not announced yet. That percentage will certainly change if Castle announces a write-in (which I believe he will - and with his polling numbers, why not?).


"Rasmussen Reports did ask Castle supporters who they would vote for in a two-person race and virtually all said either Coons or not sure."


That's good news for O'Donnell. Castle would draw significantly more votes away form Coons than her.

If Castle enters the race it would be a win-win for Republicans. The worst thing that can happen is Coons wins, but that looks likely anyway. The not so bad scenario is a Castle win, which despite being a RINO, would bring the GOP one step closer to controlling the upper chamber. The best case scenario, and perhaps more likely, is Castle pulling enough votes away from Coons so O'Donnell wins.

The fact that the race is on single digits with Castle pulling a mere 5% (and it will be much more if he announced a write-in) bodes well for O'Donnell.

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John:

Heh, more funny than anything else. Unless Castle decides to run (and given his apparent animosity towards O'Donnell he is extremely unlikely to unless he thinks he is going to win), this poll will have to disregarded not only for the 5% who said they would vote for Castle but also because of possible confusion among the undecideds.

@JJC
"Rasmussen didn't put his name as an option."

Actually he did.

"However, when response options were offered to survey respondents, Castle’s name was mentioned."

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Bob in SJ:

Lazio got the judgeship nomination.

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