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Dubious Polling 'Outliers'

Topics: Outliers Feature

George Bishop and David Moore issue their 2nd annual Dubious Polling Awards.

Alan Abramowitz challenges the SurveyUSA/Firedoglake polls; Jay Leve responds (via Smith).

Mark Mellman says live-interviewer polls show a more plausible campaign narrative than IVR polls.

Nate Silver sees little demographic variation among Republicans in their perceptions of politics.

Charles Lemos questions the demographics of the Daily Kos Republicans poll.

Frank Newport takes a look at the popularity of recent Obama proposals.

Gallup lists the most conservative and liberal states.

Ezra Klein considers the role of legislative "process" in shaping public opinion on health care reform (via Chait), John Sides sees a different explanation.

Reid Wilson finds evidence of benchmark polling by typically safe-seat Democrats.

Democracy Corps digs deeper into dial testing of the State of the Union address.

Tom Jensen sees warning signs for Democrats in the Illinois turnout.

Harry Enten estimates where the close count in the Illinois GOP governor's race is going.

Trent Alexander, Michael Davern, and Betsey Stevenson discover problems in public use Census data stemming from efforts to project respondent confidentiality (via Sides); Justin Wolfers summarizes; Andrew Gelman and Doug Rivers react.

 

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