Edward Tufte 'Outliers'
Emily Swanson | March 16, 2010
Topics: Outliers Feature
John Anzalone recommends health reform messages for Democrats (via Smith - more here).
Norman Ornstein and Thomas Mann say consequences for Democrats will be worse if they don't pass health care reform.
Alan Reifman seesa negative slant in health care poll questions from a conservative group.
Jonathan Bernstein responds to Saletan on how polling can inform elected official (via Sullivan).
And every time you make a power point, Edward Tufte kills a kitten.
By Emily Swanson | March 16, 2010 5:20 PM | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
The Anzalone poll looks like a push poll. I would have to see the actual questions and how much they spun some of the individual pieces of the massive plan to see if they could change the responder's mind before I gave any credibility to it. Almost everyone likes one or two tiny pieces of the bill but it is the entire bill that people don't like.
Alf Reifman's piece reinforces my argument. He gets upset about a conservative leaning poll using wording he doesn't like. He just shows how easy it is to slant the results one way or another - which is exactly what I think Anzalone did because I live in one of those blue dog districts and I simply don't believe the numbers they are quoting.
Are the Anzalone cross-tabs available anywhere? You have to seriously question a "polling" firm that makes an advertising claim that: "ALR has helped our clients take eleven seats from Congressional Republicans". Are they a polling firm or are they a firm to help elect Democrats?
Posted on March 17, 2010 10:17 AM
I predict the Democrats will easily keep the house and senate by at least 4 seats in the Senate and 25 in the House, if they pass this bill. There will be some casualities in some very religious and culturally conservative districts for some US Reps, but they will make history, and I am certain that they will be back in politics again someday. It will also give these people time to focus on other issues before the Midterms.
Posted on March 17, 2010 11:48 AM
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