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FL: 2010 Gov and Sen (Ipsos 8/6-10)

Topics: Florida , Governor , poll , Primary elections , Senate

Ipsos for the Miami Herald, St. Petersburg Times, BayNews9, and Central Florida News 13
8/6-10/10; 602 registered voters, 4% margin of error
275 registered Republicans, 5.9% margin of error
237 registered Democrats, 6.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Ipsos Release)

Florida

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
45% Scott, 34% McCollum (chart)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
40% Greene, 32% Meek, 5% Ferre (chart)

2010 Governor: General Election
33% Sink (D), 31% McCollum (R), 14% Chiles (i) (chart)
33% Scott (R), 31% Sink (D), 17% Chiles (i) (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election
38% Crist (i), 33% Rubio (R), 19% Meek (D) (chart)
34% Crist (i), 32% Rubio (R), 22% Greene (D) (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Crist: 51 / 38 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 44 / 51 (chart)

 

Comments
HookedOnPolls:

"Ipsos" facto?

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StatyPolly:

These FL polls are all over the place. Unlike Ras and Mas-Dix, Ipsos got Rubio doing better with Greene, rather than Meek. Mas-Dix had Meek leading Greene by 14. Ipsos has Greene leading by 8.

It ain't easy being an Indie though. I imagine the pressure on Crist to commit will get huge, especially after the Dem primary on 8/24. It's a no win for him, it appears. He loses one side by committing, and he slowly loses a little from both sides by not committing. In today's hyper partisan climate.

Tough to win for an indie. Lieberman's win was under a completely different set of circumstances.

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StatyPolly:

In other unrelated news, Gallup daily tracking set a new record for BOBO's appr/dis yesterday at -5.

Today -7.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

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StatyPolly:

That Pew poll that they released last week, is not smelling any better over time.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

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Field Marshal:

From the article:

"in a potentially major advantage for Rubio, the poll of registered voters found that three-quarters of Republicans said they were certain to go the polls, while less than half of Democrats said they were a sure bet. The stronger motivation among Republican voters reflects polls nationwide and has boosted the party's hopes of taking back Congress in November."

Rubio will win by 10 points easy.

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StatyPolly:

Good point, FM.

That quote made me realize that this Ipsos poll is RV. Both of the Ras/Mas-Dix twins are LV. Enthusiasm gap should pretty much account for the differences in the general election toplines. Looks like a lot of Florida Dems love their dashing governor, but just don't love him enough to peel their sweaty butts off vinyl couches to actually cast votes.

Still should be a very turbulent three-way race for a while though, I suspect.

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