Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

FL: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 4/15)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
4/15/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Florida

2010 Governor
45% McCollum (R), 38% Sink (D) (chart)

Favorabe / Unfavorable
Bill McCollum: 50 / 31
Alex Sink: 43 / 37

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 51 / 49 (chart)
Gov. Crist: 57 / 42 (chart)

 

Comments
jamesia:

Amazing how Crist is still viewed so favorably overall.

____________________

GARY WAGNER:

Amazing how some people like rasmussen only when it shows what they want.

It's kind of interesting that a state with so many senior citizens who hate obamacare more than the average person would have a 51% approval for Obama. I wonder if they know that the only counties that got that sweetheart deal so they could keep medicare advantage are the three big democrat counties in the state. Once the rest of the state realizes how they were screwed as bad as the rest of the country, Obama's numbers approval might drop.

____________________

CHRIS MERKEY:

It might actually be good news for Dems but i still have a problem with it. at least this time Rasmussen had Obama's approval at 100% so that's a start. i think some people would be undecided on this. I've stated that before in my prior posts. Obama has a higher approval rating in Fl than NH, OH, and PA. It does seem kind of strange though.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

There are actually people who are fairly objective and don't think like we do. Believe it or not, there are many older people who may not agree with Obama yet on the healthcare reform, but there are more issues to take into consideration than just that. It is an issue to consider but fortunately there are people who are broadminded and don't base their opinion of him on one or 2 issues.

____________________

tjampel:

Ras had this a 13 point race a couple of months ago and then 11 points last month and now 8 points. Take away the Ras "house effect" and the Quin. Poll looks very solid.

If I were McCollum I'd be getting that "SINK"ing feeling right around now, especially with all the negative publicity swirling around Sansom, Greer, Rubio, & co. ; McCollum was no disinterested party in all of this malfeasance and it appears that it's really starting to show. I think the Republican brand in Florida has been tarnished; the big races are still theirs to win, but the trend is not favorable right now.

____________________

GARY WAGNER:

McCollum is feeling the anti-Crist backlash from the primary battle right now. Once Crist either drops out of the race, is defeated in the primary, or decides to go independent, McCollum will move back up to a double digit lead.

Crist is what is hurting the republican brand right now. People associate McCollum with Crist. When Crist is out of the way, it will come back for McCollum.

____________________

Aaron_in_TX:

How can Crist have a 57/42 favorable rating and be hurting the republican brand?

That is a really high favorable rate for a governor in a state with 11% unemployment.

____________________

Aaron_in_TX:

Oh wait, it's job approval. That's even better. About the same as Rick Perry's in Texas and conservatives say he's a shoe-in.

____________________

williame123:

There is something strange happening with Rasmussen when it comes to Obama's numbers. Obama's approval numbers in Ras have improved since the passage of HCR and the improvement has persisted. In fact in the past couple of weeks, Ras has often given Obama better approval numbers than gallup. That is strange considering that Gallup polls adults as opposed to likely voters.

Also, the recent special election in FL and the one about to be happening in PA-12 are not showing numbers consistent with Rasmussen's Generic Ballot numbers. 2010 is shaping up to be an interesting political year.

____________________

jamesia:

GARY WAGNER, what was the point of that comment toward me? I just made an observational statement.

____________________

Aaron_in_TX:

"Obama's approval numbers in Ras have improved since the passage of HCR and the improvement has persisted."

Yeah, today both Gallup and Ras had approval at 49. Ras's house effect has to do with its likely voter screen. They tend to assume lower turnout among dems until the last minute. It may be that the passage of health care shored up some democratic support and the LV screen is picking that up.

____________________

tjampel:

Ras had Obama in positive territory last week

Ras notes that the intensity level for Dems has gone back up. Obama's "very favorable" percentage is up 30% now; it was languishing in the low to mid 20s a couple of months ago. Ras considers the very fave/very unfave spread to be more important than the actual topline numbers.

There has also been a strong increase in the % of Dems who say they will definitely vote or likely vote in Nov. Therefore the likely voter screen has to change based on that, if the pollster is acting properly. Ras does generally follow the rules.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR