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FL: 2010 Sen (Kos 11/16-18)


DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
11/16-18/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Republican primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

Florida

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kendrick Meek: 23 / 9
Charlie Crist: 59 / 32 (chart)
Marco Rubio: 21 / 22
Alex Sink: 25 / 9
Bill McCollum: 39 / 24
Paula Dockery: 9 / 4
Barack Obama: 51 / 45 (chart)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
Crist 47%, Rubio 37% (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
Crist (R) 50%, Meek (D) 33% (chart)
Meek (D) 38%, Rubio (R) 30% (chart)
Crist (i) 32%, Meek (D) 31%, Rubio (R) 27%
Crist (D) 45%, Rubio (R) 34%

2010 Governor: Republican Primary (trends)
McCollum 45%, Dockery 9%

2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
McCollum (R) 35%, Sink (D) 33% (chart)
Dink (D) 35%, Dockery (D) 13%

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Hopefully the GOP will role the dice and go for the more conservative Rubio over Crist. It would not be a smart move for the GOP to nominate Rubio, but if Crist becomes Senator he'll likely be a long-term social moderate-fiscal conservative. The Democrats have their best chances at beating conservative senators in battleground states. In the past years they defeated far right senators including George Allen, Santorum in PA and John Ashcroft in Missouri. Crist would probably have a safe seat like Olympia Snowe

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Stillow:

Crist would be a long term lock on this seat....this one is staying red boys.

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tjampel:

Christ has dropped 10 points since the last Kos poll and Rubio is up from single digits to -10 and he he's got room to grow as more people become aware of him. Whereas Rubio is practically being feted by every movement conservative, Christ seems to be getting absolutely no love from National Repub politicians. Why would anyone think Christ is a lock. Do Republicans really want to vote for a guy who could easily change stripes and win?

Interesting questions in this poll, testing Christ as Indep and Dem. Well...we've heard plenty of rumors in the past about Christ swinging in different ways; maybe the purity wing of his party will make him swing Dem and then, perhaps Stillow is right about Christ but....sorry...wrong party.

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Lou-NH:

Governor Christ, come on over to the Demoractic Party. We have plenty of room for social moderates and need more fiscal conservatives. The Republican Party lost my vote when they decided that a right wing social agenda was more important than what was best for the majority of the country. This country has become about the tail of two minorities while the center suffers. Christ is more centrist and if he were to leave the Republican Party for either the Democratic Party or to run as an Independent, he would get my financial support.

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