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FL: 2010 Sen (Kos 3/15-17)

Topics: poll

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
3/15-17/10; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Republican primary voters, 5% margin of error
400 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

Florida

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
58% Rubio, 30% Crist, 12% undecided (chart)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
24% Meek, 21% Crist

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
47% McCollum, 9% Dockery (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
45% Crist (R), 36% Meek (D) (chart)
41% Rubio (R), 40% Meek (D) (chart)
32% Rubio (R), 29% Crist (i), 27% Meek (D)
40% Rubio (R), 38% Crist (D)

2010 Governor: General Election (trends)
41% McCollum, 35% Sink (chart)
37% Sink, 15% Dockery

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kendrick Meek: 25 / 18
Charlie Crist: 44 / 45 (chart)
Marco Rubio: 29 / 36
Alex Sink: 27 / 24
Bill McCollum: 44 / 29
Paula Dockery: 12 / 7
Bill Nelson: 42 / 40 (chart)
George LeMieux: 17 / 38
Barack Obama: 47 / 49 (chart)

 

Comments
Speedo Bandit:

Dailykos polls are a complete joke. There are some questionable polls from time to time, but these polls are consistently laughable. There is no way Meek is anywhere near Rubio at this point. I can't believe their polls are even on this website with their obvious bias. What if hannity.com ran a poll would they use that poll?

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Field Marshal:

Sad thing is even being completely biased they still don't have Meek in the lead in any scenario, not even with TWO REPUBLICANS in the race.

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Farleftandproud:

This is an interesting poll. It shows you that when you have a candidate who is too extreme, they may be popular in their own base, but not in the general. I have seen other polls that have shown the same pattern.

Who knows, maybe John Mccain will be defeated by the Tea party crowd, and Democrats will decide to put up a candidate who may be electable, instead of putting someone unknown.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Florida should have had a Democratic primary too. I like Meek personally but I am not sure if he has what it takes to win. I was personally hoping that Wasserman-Shultz would run.

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LordMike:

"There is no way Meek is anywhere near Rubio at this point. "

PPP had Meek tied with Rubio just a couple of weeks ago... you gonna rip on them, too, after they were the first pollster to predict a Scott Brown victory?

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Speedo Bandit:

Lord Mike, believe what you want to believe. There is no way in hell that Meek will win in Florida in the political climate we have right now. There is a serious ass kicking coming for the Dems in November. Reality is coming and it won't be avoided.

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Brandi Thomas:

In case you missed it (since you do a lot of talking and very little listening - except for the voices in your head), I have a comment for you, Farleftandproud on the CA-Sen thread.

p.s. Of course you'd find this poll interesting and come up with an "analysis" that is not grounded in reality.

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LordMike:

Speedo,

I find it surprising that Meek is competitive as well... He is a very weak candidate. However, the last two polls on the subject say the same thing. It would be interesting to see what Rasmussen says, but he only seems to poll the primary.

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John:

'I can't believe their polls are even on this website with their obvious bias.'

The poll is conducted by the respected polling company R2000, although their poll tend to lean more to the democratic party than the average much in same way as rasmussen tend to lean to the republicans. (Probably why DailyKos uses them).

'There is no way Meek is anywhere near Rubio at this point.'

Good argument, perhaps a better one might be that the poll has roughly equal numbers of republican as democrats, which is a pretty unlikely make-up of the electorate, given that even in 06 the republicans had a lead 39-36.

'There is no way in hell that Meek will win in Florida in the political climate we have right now.'

If Meeks was up against Crist that would almost certainly be true but against Rubio, if he can win the independent (as he is in this poll), it will be pretty close, although Rubio is still a significant but not overwhelmingly favourite. The price of purity I suppose.

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Stillow:

Rubio will cruise to victory. It won't even be close. He will win by double digits.

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