Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

FL: 36% Rubio, 34% Crist, 15% Meek (Rasmussen 7/6)

Topics: Florida , poll


Rasmussen
7/6/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Florida

2010 Senate
36% Rubio (R), 34% Crist (i), 15% Meek (D) (chart)
37% Rubio (R), 33% Crist (i), 18% Greene (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Charlie Crist: 56 / 42 (chart)
Kendrick Meek: 36 / 40
Marco Rubio: 51 / 41
Jeff Greene: 27 / 51

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 43 / 57 (chart)
Gov. Crist: 53 / 45 (chart)

 

Comments
rdw4potus:

LOL!

____________________

Sean Murphy:

I only expect Crist' numbers to fall as the campaign wears on and as he continues his leftward lurch. It's basically Rubio vs 2 Democrats now and once Rubio officially secures the nomination he should start running ads on Crist and his political expediency.

____________________

Mike E:

As voters begin realise Christ is a slimy career politician out to save his hide Rubio will soar.

____________________

melvin:

Rasmussen is the only pollster who have Rubio leading,Rasmussen is on the attack against Democrats.If the Democrats do well this November, this guy may have to retire because nobody will ever believe his poll numbers again.Rasmussen have the Gop taking control of 39 Governorships,51 Senate seats,in with his Generic poll showing the Dems losing by 8%, that means he have the Dems losing over 60 seats in the House.Huffington post knows this guy is a outliar thats probaly why they took over this Website.Am praying Rasmussen might follow hoosier-gary, in leave pollster.com.Lets pray he ask Huffington to stop posting his outliars

____________________

Paleo:

Note that in every poll other than Rasmussen, since April, Crist has been ahead:

/polls/fl/10-fl-sen-ge-rvmvc.html

Which, of course, is not surprising.

____________________

Field Marshal:

It will be interesting to see how much Greene pulling ahead of Meek for the dem nomination hurts Crist as he pulls some, not many, moderate Dems away from Crist.

I still think Rubio will being to run away with this in the fall.

____________________

Sean Murphy:

Melvin stop lying if you actually went to Scotts website you'd see his balance of power for the Senate which currently stands at 49-42 in favor of the Dems with 9 tossups.

____________________

lat:

Sheetmussen! Go Scottie Go!

____________________

TeaPartyRules:

Sean you're waisting your time on "Melvin the illiterate". He's the stupidest person who post here. I'm surprised that you can even translate his gibberish.

____________________

Bob MR:

I will not believe Rasmussen until I see other pollsters showing similar results.

____________________

melvin:

Why cant you right-wingers face the truth? This guy is a outliar,in that would be proven in November.This guy thinks only non-hispanics lives in this Country.Rasmussen is living in the twilight zone.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

I think a fairly popular sitting governor running for the US senate and has recieved some support from conservative Democrats will have a good chance of winning. As I predicted, Rasmussen has decided to insure Rubio will come out ahead because they have suddenly labeled Crist the flaming liberal.

"Rubio Rubio, where art though Rubio?"

____________________

melvin:

When October 21st comes around you wont see anything from Rasmussen,because for some strange reason he dont poll a few days before the election,now why do he do that? Why do Foxnews and far-right radio only talks about the Rasmussen poll?

____________________

obamalover:

The Dem will be eventually forced out

____________________

Mike E:

@Melvin

"Why do Foxnews and far-right radio only talks about the Rasmussen poll?"

A lot of the far right outlets are talking about the Boxer-disaster Field poll!

____________________

Farleftandproud:

Florida Democrats have not had good organization. I felt as though non-white voters failed to turnout in the last few elections. I think Obama could have won by 10 points.

There is a group in upstate NY that is replacing ACORN and already we have registered more voters than we did under ACORN. Those who are furious at the smears against ACORN and the racist attacks on ACORN need to fight back and organize. The Stupid congress, believed those liars who had evidence against only one branch of the group. The enemies of the group will suppress anything that is going to encourage turnout. We must prove these pollsters wrong and fight back. This election is one progressives have to fight as though our lives depended on it. It's WAR

____________________

Xenobion:

I wonder what conservative part of the state Rasmussen polled for this one.

____________________

Paleo:

"A lot of the far right outlets are talking about the Boxer-disaster Field poll!"

Three points ahead. Some disaster.

____________________

vincent106:

A relatively "popular" incumbant senator against a supposedly "right wing crazy" GOP in a state that is overwhelmingly more liberal than conservative and being up only 3 points, within in the margin? Yeah thats a disaster.

____________________

Paleo:

Boxer has never polled well. Except on election day. And Fiorina is not as crazy as some of the real crazies, like Angle.

____________________

StatyPolly:

Meeks is looking like a third party candidate. Which means his actuals will be lower than he polls. I have to consider Crist a slight favorite at this point. Should he win, he'd be a real fool not to caucus with GOP though, since GOP just by sheer numbers of seats up for reelection is very likely to take the Senate in 2012.

____________________

tjampel:

StatyPolly:

Meeks is looking like a third party candidate. Which means his actuals will be lower than he polls. I have to consider Crist a slight favorite at this point. Should he win, he'd be a real fool not to caucus with GOP though, since GOP just by sheer numbers of seats up for reelection is very likely to take the Senate in 2012.

We agree on something; I'd better reconsider

I see this race as similar to Daggett/Christie/Corzine. Only Rubio gets to play Corzine. Dem bigwig donors have already transitioned over to Crist and are plunking down big wads of cash, and no doubt he's being pushed hard to commit to caucusing with Dems in return for Dems covertly "pulling the plug" on Meeks.

Meeks' candidacy will wither and die without party funding. No Dem is going to throw away their vote for Meeks once they decide he's no longer a remotely credible candidate.

He's a nice enough guy. I like him. But he's neither charismatic nor a particularly good campaigner....just kind of earnest and soft-spoken. A Bill Clinton type might have been able to effective draw attention to the non-ideological and patently opportunistic/self aggrandizing nature of Crist's recent switch plus anything else Crist may have sitting in the closet...; that's for sure. Anyway, Meeks (polling in Daggett territory now will probably get 10% of the vote. That leaves far too many moderates for Rubio to pick off. He'll lose 46/42/10 (2% going elsewhere). He'll get his entire base and another 10% of moderate Repubs.

Now I don't think Crist will commit to caucusing with the Dems, but he'll probably promise to at least work with Dems on certain key issues. It would take a lot to bring him solidly back into the Repub fold at this point. I mean, the first thing the Party did was essentially call him gay, when they sold his framed photo on EBay describing it as being "in the tradition of Larry Craig and Mark Foley" or words to that effect. I wonder if/when Rubio will get desperate enough to try to "out" him. Of course that would make Mark Kirk kind of uncomfortable.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

Crist may campaign as an indepenent and caucus with the GOP in the beginning but as he sees how extreme their voting record will be, I think he'll realize when he is up for re-election, he'll convert to being a Democrat, in a similar way that Jeffords in VT switched as well as Arlen Specter. He'll know he would probably not get re-elected unless he joined a major money raising machine.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR