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FL: 40% Rubio, 26% Crist, 21% Meek (Ipsos/Reuters 9/10-12)

Topics: Florida , poll

Ipsos / Reuters
9/10-12/10; 600 registered voters, 4% margin of error
486 likely voters, 4.6% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Ipsos release)

Florida

2010 Senate
40% Rubio (R), 26% Crist (i), 21% Meek (D) (chart)

2010 Governor
47% Scott (R), 45% Sink (D) (chart)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Crist: 53 / 40 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I think the poll here proves that Republicans again were overpolled. Maybe on Rubio they are closer to the truth than on Scott. Every other poll I have seen has Sink with quite a lead.

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Field Marshal:

Crist and the Dems are done. This race is just Colorado but for the Dems. And they are using a RV screen which confirms Ras, Susq, and PPP.

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Cederico:

I disagree Field Marshall...this race has a few more twists and turns.

Like FarLeft noted the poll's likely voters poll oversamples GOP voters by quite a bit (49% - 41%). This might be an example of the enthusiam gap but I am confident that DEM voters will be becoming far more engaged in the next 6 or so weeks.

The internals of this poll show the dilemma that will confront DEM voters at the end of the race. They hate Rubio but they have to choose between Gov. Crist or Rep. Meek. If Meek were not in the picture the race would be tied amongst likely voters and Crist would be ahead by 12 points amongst registered voters.

If DEMS want to gain this seat they are going to have to switch to Crist who has the statewide popularity and resources to beat Rubio.

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Field Marshal:

Those are good points but a lot of things have to come together for it to pan out which i doubt will occur.


but I am confident that DEM voters will be becoming far more engaged in the next 6 or so weeks.

I think the Dem voters for the most part ARE engaged. I think its the Dem leaners who aren't because of the direction the party has taken the last two years. The far-left will be at the polls in November. What the Dems need is to convince the indies to show up and vote for them which will be extremely difficult.

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Farleftandproud:

I guess Bill Clinton being a pragmatist may have to nicely ask Meek to see if they care more about making a name for themselves, or losing a senate seat to an extreme right winger like Rubio who would be bad for Florida.

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Von Wallenstein:

it's time for crist to give up his quixotic campaign and throw his support behind meek so Fla. can have an even contest between the tea partier rubio and the progressive meek

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Field Marshal:

Crist is way too arrogant to do that. He will simply cite this poll that shows him ahead of Meek and ask that Meek drop out.

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nick283:

Why should Meek drop out? He won his primary.

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Hugo L:

FLAP:

If Meek withdraws or if the Dems fully abandon him, then it's over for Sink as well. She needs Meek to turn out the minority vote, especially with Jennifer Carroll on Scott's ticket.

The better strategy for the Dems now is to concentrate on winning the gubernatorial race while building some statewide name recognition and campaign structures and expertise for Meek - that he'll hopefully be able to use in future races.

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