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FL: 40% Rubio, 28% Crist, 23% Meek (Mason-Dixon 9/20-22)

Topics: Florida , poll

Mason-Dixon
9/20-22/10; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Tampa Bay Online story)

Florida

2010 Senate
40% Rubio (R), 28% Crist (i), 23% Meek (D) (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Not much movement in the last 4 weeks with Rubio around 40 and the other splitting the remaining vote. Thanks Crist for entering the race. Now if we can only convince Castle to run in Delaware.

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JJC:

I seriously think that as the election draws near, Meek will surpass Crist as Dems and Repubs navigate back to their party's candidate. At that point the election will be over.

The only way Rubio doesn't win is if Meek drops out and endorses Crist, and I would still give Rubio the advantage.

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CompCon:

I agree, JJC. I've been saying that same thing for a while. I also think Crist will continue to poll at least 5 points better than the actual vote because of the poll repsondents who like the idea of neither a democrat or a republican but will still end up voting for either Rubio or Meeks.

Once Meek is within the margin of error from Crist - this race is completely over. And he's only one point away now.

My prediction: Rubio 52%, Meek 29%, Crist 19%.

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