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FL: 47% Sink, 40% Scott (Mason-Dixon 9/20-22)

Topics: Florida , poll

Mason-Dixon
9/20-22/1-; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Tampa Bay Online release)

Florida

2010 Governor
47% Sink (D), 40% Scott (R) (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Who cares about this race, show us what we want to see- the senate race!

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tjampel:

Field Marshal:

"Who cares about this race, show us what we want to see- the senate race!"

Actually GOV of FL is very important since Dem govs will be pretty scarce next year. They need all they can get. And reapportionment in a big state like this one and CA is important. A little less so in say...ND

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StatyPolly:

Alex Sink's step-brother, Kit Chen, was seen being thrown at Rick Scott at a campaign event.


A re-run, but still a work in progress.

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StatyPolly:

I am not sure CA will get reapportioned, since the number of congressional districts will stay the same as last decade. Besides, CA gets reapportioned by a non-partisan committee.

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Crimsonite:

StatyPolly,
All states have to undergo redistricting no matter whether the number of seats they have goes up, down, or stays the same (unless they have only one district. Congressional districts are supposed to have as close to equal population as possible within a state and the population of districts inevitably changes so they have to be at least looked at and most likely redrawn, though not always that much change occurs.
That being said, if CA has an independent non-partisan committee, it doesn't matter who the governor in redistricting.

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Bob in SJ:

@ Staty

The leg in CA still controls congressional re-apportionment. Though there is a prop on the ballot that would make it non-partisan.

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StatyPolly:

Okay, thanks Bob and Crimsonite.

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Cederico:

Florida is very important in congressional redistricting. It will gain a few seats and the current seats are unfairly drawn to maximize GOP seats. With that in mind the DGA has already sent 2 million dollars in funds to the state party.

To pull off the win Sink has to maintain her moderate profile and rally the DEM base. She has to run up the margin in southeast FL and win the independents along the I-4 corridor. She also has to maintain a good percent of the vote in conservative North Florida to av

Having a DEM governor in FL would assist Obama in his 2012 re-election effort. With Obama not as popular in some states like VA, NC, etc that he won in 2008 he will need to keep FL in contention to win re-election.

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Paleo:

"Who cares about this race, show us what we want to see- the senate race!"

Speak for yourself. That race is over. This one isn't, and is more important for the reasons mentioned above.

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Farleftandproud:

I just saw a Rasmussen poll with scott with a 22 point lead among indepependents. This poll has sink with a 7 point lead. WTF. This is truly absurd.

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Cederico:

I totally agree FarLeft...how the heck is Scott at 50% in Rasmussen when he barely hits 40% in Mason Dixon? It make no sense.

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jmartin4s:

Because its Rasmussen. Their motto should be Scott Rasmussen mangling numbers for Republicans since 2003.

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Paleo:

it drew an immediate electronic tongue-lashing from Democratic strategist Steve Schale, who sent reporters a missive that questioned the results.

“It’s not even worth a blog post. At best it is an outlier, at worst it is a joke. There isn’t anybody, R or D in this state who thinks that Scott has a plus 14 fav:unfav or is up by more than 20 with NPA/Independent voters,” Schale wrote in the e-mail. “Everyone should ask Rasmussen to release his data/methodology on this one. ”

http://blogs.orlandosentinel.com/news_politics/2010/09/rasmussen-poll-has-scott-up-democrats-fuming.html

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