January 04, 2008

Frank Newport on the Iowa Entrance Poll

Gallup Poll's Editor in Chief Frank Newport looks at the Iowa entrance polls and asks whether Huckabee can "expand his base beyond highly religious Republicans?"

• "One finding that I'm sure is bothering Huckabee and his advisors this morning as they contemplate New Hampshire and the states beyond is the fact that only 14% of those Republicans who said they were not "born again" voted for Huckabee. He was defeated among this less religious group by Romney, with 33% of the vote, John McCain (18%) and Fred Thompson (17%)."

• "The 14% is a real key number. I would think that Huckabee's chances of winning the nomination are fairly slim if he can't expand his appeal beyond those Republicans who are highly religious. How well he succeeds in doing this is going to be -- in my mind -- the major focus of our on-going analysis of national data and our upcoming weekend poll in New Hampshire."

The full article here.

-- Eric Dienstfrey

January 04, 2008 in Iowa

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