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GA: 2010 Gov (PPP 2/26-28)

Topics: poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
2/26-28/10; 596 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Georgia

2010 Governor
43% Barnes (D), 38% Deal (R)
41% Barnes (D), 36% Handel (R)
40% Barnes (D), 39% Oxendine (R)
40% Deal (R), 30% Baker (D)
40% Handel (R), 33% Baker (D)
42% Oxendine (R), 33% Baker (D)

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Perdue: 29 / 52

Favorable / Unfavorable
Thurbert Baker: 20 / 21
Roy Barnes: 36 / 33
Nathan Deal: 12 / 17
Karen Handel: 18 / 20
John Oxendine: 33 / 29

 

Comments
Xenobion:

Although a Democratic pollster anyone from GA know how hot this race is? I typically find Gov races a bore but maybe something to pay attention to.

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Farleftandproud:

Is Perdue a Democrat? If not, incumbency could help them in this race.

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Farleftandproud:

PPP is the most conservative and realistic Democratic pollster I think.

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Ryan:

And the primary isn't until July 20th, so there is still a lot of time for movement.

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IdahoMulato:

Barnes is kicking butz!

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jmartin4s:

Farleft
Sonny Perdue is a republican.

In addition, the Georgia republican primary is likely to have no one getting 50% so that primary will likely go into a runoff in August which would only help Barnes.

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MightmakesrightformerlyknownasTim:

Ok lefty, as a lifelong Georgian let me fill u guys in on a couple of things. Perdue has been a very popular 2 term gov that won re-election in 06 (a democratic yr) by 18 percent. The Rep party has overwhelming majorities in both state house and senate and has all constitutional offices except 2. There are multiple candidates on the Rep side but one or two are going to drop out before the primary and either Oxendyne or Deal will win without a runoff. Lastly, unless you lived here you could not understand how hated Roy Barnes is in this state. He is despised by teachers (usually a reliable Dem voting block), the suburbs of Atl for trying to ram thru an extra loop or bypass (called the Arc) around the city that would have helped a few business cronies, and for removing the battle flag ensignia from the state flag (the one good thing he did) that offended older, white, low income, low education voters who are ol-time Democrats. Trust me, the fact that Barnes isthe leading candidate for the Dem nomination shows the weakness of Dem party. And Baker (African American attorney gen.) will give him all he wants in his own primary. Georgia is a solidly Red state

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Rockym92:

Perdues approval on the other poll that was just released was 52%.

I'd imagine 1 of these polls is a misprint, as if you flipped 1 of the polls they'd match up very closely.

Perdue is the first republican governor that Georgia has had in about 150 years. Hard to imagine.

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Farleftandproud:

Georgia was one of the latter southern states to re-align with the Republicans I think. It seemed like Texas was the first, because the oil industry is a very conservative enterprise; NC, Alabama and SC (Going for Goldwater in 1964 and not voting for a Democrat president since) were next, and it became a domino affect. Than came Ok,MS, Ky,than Georgia, Tennessee and Louisiana and now It looks like Arkansas may be the last southern state to go strong R.

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Farleftandproud:

I forgot Virginia and Florida. VA trended Republican towards the late 1960's, but I would put them in a different category, because northern VA was home to the Pentagon and CIA, trending them more Republican, but also some districts in northern VA that are mostly transplants who work in Washington.

Florida is different because the southern part of Florida like Miami Palm beach and other places are mostly transplants who are not from the south. Florida has leaned republican because it has a lot of older voters, some conservative cubans, and of course, northern Florida, especially around the Panhandle is probably just as conservative as Oklahoma.

The growth of immigrants in south Florida and northeastern transplants has trended other districts in a more progressive direction.

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