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GA: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 4/22)

Topics: Georgia , poll

Rasmussen
4/22/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Georgia

2010 Governor
45% Oxendine (R), 43% Barnes (D)
46% Deal (R), 39% Barnes (D)
42% Handel (R), 41% Barnes (D)
42% Barnes (D), 37% Johnson (R)
44% Oxendine (R), 34% Baker (D)
47% Deal (R), 31% Baker (D)
44% Handel (R), 36% Baker (D)
38% Johnson (R), 35% Baker (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Karen Handel: 48 / 26
John Oxendine: 51 / 35
Nathan Deal: 41 / 27
Eric Johnson: 29 / 28
Roy Barnes: 47 / 43
Thurbert Baker: 42 / 39

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 41 / 57
Gov. Perdue: 55 / 42

 

Comments
rdw4potus:

What makes Obama's numbers so much better in NC than GA? Shouldn't the size and political bent of Atlanta make GA the more liberal state?

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CHRIS MERKEY:

I think the only liberal area in Georgia is Atlanta. I could see Georgia becoming more liberal as the state grows in Population. The more urban a state is, the more democratic it is. Compare the population density to voting patterns. Most of the states with more people per square mile such as Delaware, Rhode Island, Mass, Maryland are more liberal than the states that have a lower population density. North Carolina's population is growing and becoming more urbanized. Also I think they have more liberal college towns than Georgia. As Texas, Georgia, Florida continue to grow, I think they become harder and harder for Republicans to win statewide races.

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jamesia:

NC has a lot of liberal college towns. Duke, UNC, etc. Also, the Research Triangle, considering most studies show more education leads to more liberal voting.

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GoTo123:

Don't be so quick to believe this poll guys. It's highly inaccurate. For one, I highly doubt that Nathan Deal is the front runner in this contest and even if he is, there's no way he could possible become Governor in 2010. Just last month a scathing ethics report came out about him that coincidentally came out a week after he resigned from Congress. Now that he has resigned, he no longer has to answer to the report or face corruption charges. However, Roy Barnes is guaranteed a victory if he does not spend months preparing a defense against these charges. If he does happen to prepare a legal team then he will either have to resign from the governor's race or severely cut back on his campaigning. This ethics charge will effectively doom his campaign, either way you look at it. John Oxendine is in a very similar situation as many of his campaign contributors and associates are being investigated for corruption charges also. Karen Handle in my opinion, has the best chance of the three, but even she has a hindrance. Back in 2007, she passed a law to prevent illegal aliens from voting, however the law was severely criticized by the U.S. Department of Justice and was found to have a flaw that could potentially prevent some legal citizens from voting.

In my opinion if the election were held today, here's what would result.

Governor - Roy Barnes (D)
Senate - Johnny Isakson (R)
Congress - No changes in power. 6 (D) 8 (R)

rdw4potus - Ironically, Rasmussen Reports last poll had Obama's approval at the exact same numbers in North Carolina as they are in this poll in Georgia. I definitely don't believe either poll is accurate. While I personally doubt that Obama currently has a positive approval rating in either state, there's no way that its this dismal in either state either. I'm guessing that in Georgia, Obama's has a net approval rating of somewhere around -8% and in North Carolina it's around -5%. Neither one is that bad at all considering that Obama won North Carolina by less than 1% and lost Georgia by about 5%. It really would be nice if some pollster OTHER than Rasmussen would poll these states a little more.

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GoTo123:

Chris Merkley - Actually there are a few other liberal areas in Georgia. Savannah, Columbus, Macon, and Athens (A college town) are fairly liberal. Of course, Atlanta is the most liberal part of Georgia, and most other parts of the state are conservative.

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rdw4potus:

"NC has a lot of liberal college towns. Duke, UNC, etc. Also, the Research Triangle, considering most studies show more education leads to more liberal voting."

Those towns are MUCH smaller than Atlanta. Also I think you're repeating yourself. The research triangle IS the area in NC that includes Raleigh (NCSU), Durham (Duke), and Chapel Hill (UNC).

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GoTo123:

If the Republican voters are actually dumb enough to nominate Deal, then I'm going to go ahead and mark the Governor's race as a Democratic pickup. There's simply no way in hell that Deal could possibly even try to hide his highly questionable ethics.

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