Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

GUEST POLLSTER: Alan Abramowitz on Iraq War Public Opinion

Topics: Iraq

[On November 6th, Charles Franklin posted an analysis of recent trends in public opinion on the Iraq War. In response we've recieved a Guest Pollster's contribution from political scientist Alan Abramowitz, the Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science at Emory University in Atlanta, Georgia.]

The claim that there has been a significant shift in public opinion toward the war is simply not supported by recent polling data. For example, a new CNN/Opinion Research Poll finds opposition to the war at an all-time high of 68 percent. The latest NBC/Wall Street Journal Poll finds that 27 percent of Americans approve of the president's handling of the war, down 3 points from September and almost identical to the levels of support from the first half of the year. This same poll finds that the war remains easily the most important issue in the minds of Americans--26 percent named the war as the most important problem for the federal government to address with health care a distant second at 16 percent. 46 percent of the respondents chose Iraq as the first or second most important problem compared with 34 percent who chose health care as the first or second most important problem. Other issues including terrorism, illegal immigration, and global warming finished far behind.

The war remains enormously unpopular and major political liability for the Republican Party. The new ABC-Washington Post Poll finds Democrats favored over Republicans on the war by a 16 point margin, slightly higher than the Democratic margin earlier this year and last year.

The claim that public opinion has shifted on the war appears to be based almost entirely on a small uptick on one measure--opinion about how the war is going. There has been a small improvement on this question, presumably in response to reports of decreasing violence and, most importantly, decreasing U.S. casualties. But this shift is not indicative of any broader shift in public opinion toward the war. Opposition to the war remains as high as ever as does support for a withdrawal timetable. And Iraq clearly remains the most salient issue in the 2008 election.

 

Comments
Independent:

This is perplexing. How can Franklin and Abramowitz draw radically different conclusions looking essentially at the same polling data? Objectivity shouldn't be too hard to achieve when analyzing hard data. It's time to set aside personal biases and insure that readers are not misled.

____________________

Independent:

This is perplexing. How can Franklin and Abramowitz draw radically different conclusions looking essentially at the same polling data? Objectivity shouldn't be too hard to achieve when analyzing hard data. It's time to set aside personal biases and insure that readers are not misled.

____________________

From Mr. Larry Wounder
The Branch Manager
Eco Bank Ghana Ltd,
First Light Branch
Accra-Ghana
Tel: +233245608302

My Dear Friend BUSINESS PROPOSAL

It is with utmost sincerity and good faith that i wish to intimate you on the beneath business. i got your contact from the internet link. i would want to immediately put your mind at rest in that regard. I therefore apologize for infringing your privacy. i am writing this letter with due respect and honor, believing that you will give my request proper and urgent attention. there may be absolutely doubt and distrust in your heart in respect of this letter, coupled with the fact that, so many miscreants have taken possession of the internet to facilitate their nefarious deeds, thereby making it extremely difficult for genuine and legitimate business contacts to get attention and recognition.

However my name is, Mr Larry Wounder i am a branch manager in Eco Bank of Ghana Limited, First Light branch Accra. I am a Ghanaian married with two kids. I am writing to request for your honest assistance in the transfer the sum of US$11, 750.000.00 million Dollar. This fund was what my branch made as operational profit during last as a result of my hard work and commitment to service last year (2007) I have already submitted an approved (2007) End of Year financial report to my Head Office here in Accra Ghana However this amount that i want you to receive for me is an excess fund in my own branch of the bank and my senior directors never knew of the said excess fund in my branch. Since then, I placed this money (US$11, 750.000.00). on a SUSPENSE ACCOUNT without any beneficiary.

As a branch manager I cannot be directly connected to this money, this is the reason why I want your assistance to receive this money into your bank account. However if you can come to Ghana it will also help us, then i will direct you on how to claim the money here and take your share and i will take my share. I intend to part 30% of this fund to you while 70% shall be for me. I also want you to know that there is no single risk involved in this business. It is going to be a bank-to-bank transfer to your nominated bank account anywhere you feel safer in this world, this is if you can not come to Ghana, but if you wish to come i will provide visa for you to come. All I need from you is to stand as the original depositor of this fund. If you accept this offer, I will appreciate your timely response. Also you can forward your private phone number for speedy relation on this matter.
Remember l am still working in this bank, your confidentiality is needed in this transaction. Please trust and honest is the watchword of this our transaction.

Thanks and best regards,
Mr. Larry Wounder
PLEASE REPLY WITH THIS EMAIL ADDRESS BELOW
mrlarrywounder@hotmail.com


____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR