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Heat Wave 'Outliers'

Topics: Outliers Feature

The LA Times summarizes the issues raised by the DailyKos / Research 2000 dispute.

Tom Jensen wonders whether Bill Clinton is less "toxic" than Obama for Democratic campaigns.

Andrew Gelman argues that quantitative analysis can inform qualitative reporting.

The New York Times reviews Pew polling on equal rights for women around the world.

John Sides is appalled at a graph of record temperatures in Washington, D.C.

 

Comments
hoosier_gary:

The article about how toxic Obama is this year is interesting. Even in his home state of Illinois, a campaign stop by Obama would cause the democrat to lose a net of 14 points in support.

For those who think Feingold isn't having any trouble, an Obama visit to Wisconsin would cost the democats 31 points in support.

Even in California, he has campaigned twice for Boxer and she hasn't been able to break out of the mid 40's.

This isn't going to set very well with Obama's enormous ego. He isn't going to stay off the campaign trail. He'll probably go to those very few areas where he has more than 50% support, but those are shrinking by the day.

Oh how fast the mighty have fallen. Who would have thought that people would despise him this much this soon?

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Farleftandproud:

Obama should play it safe and campaign in CA, Washington, and IL as well as VT,and Maine for governor's races. He is still quite popular in at least 10-15 states and I think this year he'll be a big asset in those places.

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hoosier_gary:

@Farleft:

Did you read the article by Tom Jensen? Obama campaigning in IL would make 26% of voters more likely to vote for the democrat but would make 40% less likely to vote for him. Why do you think he should campaign there?

We'll have to wait a few weeks to see how bad the backlash against Obama is now that he is suing Arizona for enforcing existing federal laws. Last poll I saw showed that 50% of people in CA support the law and only 43% oppose it. In fact, 42% strongly support it and only 27% strongly oppose it.

Nationwide, 69% support requiring a police officer to check immigration status when stopping someone. If California people feel the same way, Obama had better stay out of California until after the election.

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