IA: Obama 53, McCain 39 (QuadCity-9/15-17)
Eric Dienstfrey | September 23, 2008
Topics: PHome
Quad City Times / Research 2000
9/15-17/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Iowa
Obama 53, McCain 39
By Eric Dienstfrey | September 23, 2008 10:51 AM | Permalink | Comments (12) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
Three words : OFF THE TABLE
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:05 AM
How can Iowa be so blue and Minnesota isn't??
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:09 AM
Iowa has been put away, folks. Add 7EVs to Kerry's EV count and all Obama needs is CO and NM and he's got the election. This is not including his opportunities in NV, MT, FL, OH, MO, VA, and most recently IN and WV. McCain should continue to spend money here just so he can perhaps feel the financial crisis and be more sym/empathetic to the cause.
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:12 AM
couseydee:
My guess (as a Minnesotan) is...
1) Economy is relatively stable in MN.
2) Conservative wealthy suburban voters who lean McCain make up a larger portion of the Minnesota electorate.
3) Obama spent a lot of time in Iowa in person and more Iowans got comfortable with him as a person. I think it is hard to underestimate the "other" factor (i.e. that people don't think Barack understands "their" life)
Obama has only had a couple big rallies here in Minnesota.
Those are my guesses.
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:14 AM
The Minnesotan economy is good right now for some, but we've also got the highest unemployment in 25 years.
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:23 AM
God Bless Iowa!
Posted on September 23, 2008 11:46 AM
Iowa has never been on the table. Obama has several advantages there among which is the Chicago media market (they are more familiar with Obama than most other states) and Obama's strong support for corn ethanol and agricultural subsidies (which McCain is adamantly against.)
Posted on September 23, 2008 12:13 PM
To put things in perspective... Bush won Iowa by .7% in 2004.
Posted on September 23, 2008 12:15 PM
KipTin:
You're missing Obama's biggest advantage: he introduced himself to the state during the caucuses and has been popular ever since. Those who caucused for Edwards and Clinton generally still liked Obama, just not as much as their candidate.
McCain, on the other hand, simply ignored Iowa last winter. No grassroots support. No organization.
No way to know, but I think Huckabee would have given Obama a challenge here, just because he was so well liked last winter.
Posted on September 23, 2008 12:23 PM
IA looks blue.
Posted on September 23, 2008 1:40 PM
hi all,
A sidenote :
If obama wins all Kerry states + Iowa + New Mexico + Nevada (those three states are very close in recent polls) it's a TIE : 269 votes each in the college!
Also, that's a tie if dems wins Iowa + Colorado + New Mexico but Mccain grabs New Hamphsire. Very possible map too.
Posted on September 23, 2008 5:14 PM
KipTin said...
"Iowa has never been on the table. Obama has several advantages there among which is the Chicago media market (they are more familiar with Obama than most other states)"
niTpiK, just like boom, pulls 'stats' out of his nether regions.
The closest Chicago is to any point in Iowa (Clinton or nearby) is about 140 miles, which is in the
drum roll please
Davenport, Bettendorf, Rock Island, Moline Iowa/Illinois (aka Quad Cities) media market.
You might want to do a Google on 'designated market areas' (or DMA) to see that NO part of Iowa is in 'the Chicago media market.'
Posted on September 23, 2008 5:19 PM
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