IL: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 10/14)
Emily Swanson | October 19, 2009
Rasmussen
10/14/09/ 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(Rasmussen release)
Illinois
Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 56 / 44
2010 Senate: General Election
Kirk 41%, Giannoulias 41%
Kirk 43%, Jackson 39%
Kirk 43%, Hoffman 33%
By Emily Swanson | October 19, 2009 3:08 PM | Permalink | Comments (4) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
I would have to say that other than a sex scandal or involvement with Blagovovich it would be the toughest open race for the GOP to win. In Obama's home state? I have my doubts. If Obama is at 56 percent on the Rasmussen poll in his home state, I would say in Gallup terms it would be more like 62 percent. Rasmussen doesn't do things right. They had Obama's approval in TN higher than NH. I live near NH and I find his popularity is high. If I were to go to TN on the other hand, for my own safety, I would probably not mention Obama's name.
Posted on October 19, 2009 3:15 PM
@ Farleftandproud
It depends what area of the state of Tennessee you go to. In Memphis (where I reside), Obama is very popular because we have a high black population and a few white liberals in the city. If you go to Nashville, he would be popular because there are a lot of liberals in the urban core there. Believe it or not, there are some Democratic counties in various rural sections of the state where he would be popular. But, overall, in most of the state, he is not all that well thought of.
By the way, don't be so negative on the South. Most native white Southerners are very friendly people, even if they disagree with you on politics or religion.
Posted on October 19, 2009 9:18 PM
not a subscriber and hard to say if the numbers look right without the crosstabs. This is an improvement for Giannoulias (he was down by 3% in the last ras poll).
I'd say his numbers will go up a bit due to consolidation with people backing other Dems if he prevails in the primary, as well as his becoming better known. Kirk is going to have some problems attracting the usual Republican base, due to his relatively moderate positions on issues such as cap and trade. Kirk's already backtracking a bit.
I just don't see Kirk winning this, nor do I see him holding such huge advantages with independents throughout the election day.
Posted on October 19, 2009 11:44 PM
You libs and your Rasmussen fetish is hillarious. Look at election results his polls are allways in the top 2 or 3 for accuracy.
Unless you find an outlier in his polls there is no legitimate reason to say "well Ras says X so we should add 3 to 5 points to make it accurate.
That is just wishfull thinking.
Posted on October 20, 2009 7:32 AM
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