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IL: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 3/8)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
3/8/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Illinois

2010 Senate
44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Kirk: 49 / 33
Alexi Giannoulias: 44 / 43

 

Comments
JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

Emily I think you mean 44% Giannoulias, 41% Kirk.

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JSK2180:

sorry guys having complications with my computer...

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JSK2180:

is there a way to remove your own comment like at 538?

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Farleftandproud:

Wow. Has Crist decided to move to Il? Maybe his chances will be better.

This poll again shows how out of touch Ras is. I saw 2 other polls over the last week that had Kirk's favorability much lower than Giannoulias.

I am waiting for Rasmussen to have a poll in VT showing Leahy trailing 10 points by a no name senator in VT? they can do one of Mikulski Vs Steele in MD and have her trailing by 10 points? Why not have a poll having on of Senator Packwood's illigitimate sons ahead of Ron Wyden? Go for it all Rasmussen and have a Republican ahead in the polls in Charlie Rangel's district in Harlem. They are full of hot air.

Lets forget 2010 and why doesn't Rasmussen do a poll that has Michelle Bauchmann ahead of Amy Klobuchar by 15 points. They will stop at nothing with their lies and misinformation.

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Xenobion:

I am really curious of Rasmussen's polling practices. I'm curious of Coburn is paying Rasmussen to pick a name to start his scouting process for RNC senators. Does Rasmussen choose people at random? Do they look for people they think will be competitive even though the person has expressed no inclination of running until the release of the poll? Or Is Coburn paying Rasmussen to do a preliminary poll for someone he has his eye on.

No other polling agency is just randomly picking up people that aren't being talked about. Sure it happened with Beau Biden and Castle in Deleware but that was an expected race. It seems Rasmussen know's who's running before they're running.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Rasmussen may decide who they want to include in the polls after they have been polled. They assume if you have a 23 year old college girl who said she voted for Obama but isn't sure if she voted in 2006 or not, they presume she won't vote in 2010. You also have people from the left who may not want to be bothered with Rasmussen pollsters and refuse to participate. Not that this makes a huge difference, but it makes a small dent.

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Wong:

One thing for certain is that Ras over-samples Republicans in their likely voter model.

How much is a matter of speculation

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Field Marshal:

X,

PPP does it with 2012 presidential candidates and has a poll on its own blog asking people to vote on who they should include in certain races.

Ras is the most reliable pollster out there.

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Emily Swanson:

Sorry about the error -- corrected

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Farleftandproud:

Rasmussen has figured that the gap between registered Democrats and Republicans is far wider than it really is. Still only 25 percent of our population are GOP members and about 33 percent are democrats. Don't get me wrong, there has been some setbacks to the Democratic agenda and the GOP has gained, but Rasmussen doesn't correctly have the number of Democrats vs republicans. Independents can move as quickly to the left as they do to the right, so it is still early to say.

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lat:

Stillow and Field Marshall,

What happened to all the talk that Scott Brown was going to be Obama's nightmare? You mean the Scott Brown that voted for cloture the other day? Or the Scott Brown that may be in negotiations with The WH and may be open to voting yes on HCR? Hmmm? An independent moderate republican that actually may be more interested in governing than showboating or obstrcuting. What a concept!

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bonncaruso:

There is no doubt that there is a house effect by Rasmussen, which leans very obviously to the right and the sheer volume of his polls is skewing any and all polling averages.

Alone his presidential approval polls are artificially holding Obama's composite numbers down.

But the tide is about to turn. Other pollsters will start jumping into the fray, in this one of the most interesting mid-terms I can remember in my life.

But alone the fact that RAS shows the democratic candidate once again ahead in IL is a sure sign that IL will remain reliably blue.

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Field Marshal:

Yup, he voted for a $15 billion jobs bill. A bill that won't create a single job. That's peanuts for this congress. He is still voting against the HCR thankfully.

And yes, its refreshing to see a senator like that. Remember, he's a republican. Other than Lieberman which you libs abhor, the dems have no senators like that.

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Farleftandproud:

Scott Brown likes being a US senator. He has to try to be as much a seperate entity from people like Mitch Mcconnell and Saxby Chambliss in the south, as Blanche lincoln has to differ in her views and agenda distancing herself in Arkansas from Pelosi and Obama.

Brown coined himself as Brown 41 just so he could get people from red states to make calls and help him campaign for him. In one sense he was elected and considered by the right to be a hero for trying to look like he could break the Obama agenda. Now he has to listen to people from his own state, so he may have to moderate his image and agenda.

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UpstateConservative:

What is outrageous about this poll farleft? It shows a well-liked moderate Republican candidate down to a Democrat crook who is set to make tens of millions of dollars off of his bank which he has had "no dealings with" for four years. Just how it should be I guess.

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OKCJ88:

I must say that I have been impressed with Scott Brown so far. I was under no illusion that he would be the most conservative senator, and that is perfectly fine. I just wish we had more people in congress like him who vote on the wishes of their constituency and not simply on issues that will help them get re-elected.

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