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IN: 50% Coats, 35% Ellsworth (Polling Company 7/31-8/3)

Topics: House of Representatives , indiana , poll , senate

The Polling Company (R) for The Susan B. Anthony List
7/31-8/3/10; 502 statewide registered voters, 4.36% margin of error
309 2nd Congressional district registered voters, 5.57% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Murphy campaign release)

Note: The Susan B. Anthony List opposes abortion and government funded abortions.

Indiana

2010 Senate
50% Coats (R), 35% Ellsworth (D) (chart)

2010 House: 2nd Congressional District
53% Donnelly (D), 35% Walorski (R)

 

Comments
Fred:

I take this poll with a grain of salt. Registered voters and a small number of them, but yet a Republican pollster. So.....I'm not sure what to think of this poll

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Bigmike:

speaking only about the Senate race, this RV poll shows a slightly smaller gap than the latest Ras LV poll. It is also similar to the Survey USA LV poll 3 months ago.

Until I see other info with a different result, I have to put this down as safe GOP.

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gabe:

If the list of questions on the polling data is accurate I have to say that this poll maybe exaggerates Coats lead by a couple of points (small sample, partisan poll) but for the most part Coats is solidly ahead. It appears the leading questions were asked after they asked voters who they would back, important because it does not lead the voter. This poll shows nothing new. Coats is solidly ahead, the Dem 2nd CD is going to stay that way and a strong majority of the population in socially conservative Indiana oppose HC reform and subsidized abortions. Like I said, nothing new.

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Farleftandproud:

Is the 2nd COngressional district usually a safe Democratic district? If not, a 15 point lead for the Dem isn't bad.

I was going to pretty much say the race is over for Ellsworth until I noticed who conducted the poll. If this organization which is endorsed by very anti gay and anti choice, Sarah Palin annointed women, I would not take it too seriously.

PPP needs to conduct one to see how accurate it is.

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Dave:

Flap: The D won 54-46 in '06 to change the seat from red to blue, then won in '08 66-33.

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tjampel:

My rule of thumb for Partisan polls---take off 5% from the candidate of the same party the polling outfit. That leaves Coats with a 10 point edge. That seems about right at this point. Coats is vulnerable if attacked properly (moved out of the district and lived in DC (and worked as a lobbyist for years) but will almost certainly win in a red state like Indiana with a big wind as his back. If this were 2008 it would be a good race.

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Farleftandproud:

I saw Coats debating hostetler who ran against him. Coats put me to sleep, and just has no charisma or depth. Hostetler probably would have been a stronger candidate.

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Chris V.:

I believe it was GARY WAGNER who informed us several months ago that all of Indiana's Democratic Congressmen would lose in November. How am I to believe a poll showing Donnelly ahead by a healthy margin when our resident crystal ball predicted otherwise?

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CHRIS MERKEY:

Well they all predicted that Harry Reid was done for too.

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CompCon:

Only 309 voters in IN2? 5.57% margin of error. This is a pretty worthless poll.

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