Pollster.com

less than a month out. And McCain needs to sweep NV, CO, FL, OH, NC, IN, MO to stand a chance, since he's not going to pick up any blue states. And he's trailing, arguably, in *all* of them.

And that's presuming Obama doesn't surprise in GA, where he's close than McCain is in just about any blue state.

No time to get complacent, but this is looking like an incredible blowout.

Who releases a poll at midnight, EST?

Looks like both of these states are also likely to go to Obama. I'm guessing at 340+ EVs on election day.

cjk:
Poll was released this morning. Pollster published it late.

Nothing we don't already know here:)

Paint them blue!! Paint all of them blue!! )))

Am I dreaming? My first election as an adult was Carter Reagan. It is taking a LONG time for people to catch on.

Judging from the flash polls, Obama won the debate. This thing could crystalize any day now. Maybe the polls will fluctuate a 2 or 3 points but thats about it.

Is there a chance Mccain could win all of these states by a close margin and win the electoral vote but lose the popular vote?

I'm still not sure I feel overly confident about any of them: FL/CO/NV/OH/NC/VA...Maybe it's my pessimism about the voting public. But I'll still be sweating out these states on election day.

@Indiana4Obama

Probably not after tonight. McCain has other problems now, from what I understand and have read the conservative blogs are all over him about his little "home buying stunt."

He also walked into a huge right-hand from Obama when he was laughing and Obama layed into him with the bomb, bomb, bomb Iran quote. That will have traction in the media.

There were a bunch of other moments that really gave me the impression that this one is going to be a laugher.

I don't see anything that suggests what you are saying since it is going to take the mythical "Obama found with dead hooker and kilo of cocaine" news story. Even a terrorist attack won't help John McCain at this point since he could no longer claim that he was a member of the party that had kept us safe for the last 8 years.

This one is over...

looks like the Great American West is no country for old men.

lol @ the moderator
good one
hehehe btw nice nick ;)

@ Dwarf : There you are. Do not get over confident. As I posted on another site : There is a lot of inherent racism in America. There are people who believe that Obama loves radicals like ( what's his name) oh yes -Ayers and is actually not Christian. They think black people smell funny and hate America. They will tell you that they will not vote for Obama because he lacks experience - not because of his being half- AA.

How about a Stockholm Syndrome Bradley Effect where women for Obama can't bring themselves to vote for him because their husbands favor McCain?

I don't think so either. I just liked the sound of it.

Did you see the times in the debate where Obama pegged the dial with women while men stayed flat (no puns intended)? Or when McCain was getting the male approval but not women's?

I'm starting to think that even the wingnuts are sensing that this is pretty much over. The conservative blogosphere is all over McLame for his mortgage buy out stunt...all conservatives love more government, after all ; )

My neightbor and I have always had a friendly rivaly. He's a die-hard Republican and I'm a die-hard Dem. Every fall, we have rival yard signs up. In 2004, I trumped him by hanging a 4' X 8' Kerry banner from my porch. This morning, as I was leaving for work, I noticed his "McCain/Palin" sign was gone. His governor and congress signs were still there. I think he's even gotten disgusted by the total ineptitude of McLame and Caribou Barbie.

As it stands the electoral map looks a lot more like Clinton v. Dole or Clinton v. Bush than Bush v. Kerry or Bush v. Gore.

Obama is stronger than Clinton was up and down the whole Atlantic Seaboard. Clinton was stronger in Appalachia.