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Iraq

April 18, 2008

POLL: ABC/Post National on Economy/Iraq

More from ABC News/Washington Post poll released yesterday April 10-13, n=1,197 adults --90% rate the "state of the nation's economy" as not so good or poor, 10% rate it as excellent or good. --61% now think "the war on terrorism...

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March 19, 2008

"Outliers" for 3-19

Poblano puts up a new site (538) that aggregates polls weighted with a "reliability rating." Gregory Nini and Glenn Hurwitz produce a statistical model and conclude that "roughly two million more people would have voted in Florida and Michigan had...

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November 19, 2007

GUEST POLLSTER: Alan Abramowitz on Iraq War Public Opinion

[On November 6th, Charles Franklin posted an analysis of recent trends in public opinion on the Iraq War. In response we've recieved a Guest Pollster's contribution from political scientist Alan Abramowitz, the Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science at...

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November 06, 2007

Ten Months of Opinion Change on War and More

While I've been doing back room work the last two months, some interesting changes have taken place in opinion about the war, the president, congress and the country. It is too early, and the changes too modest, to declare...

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September 10, 2007

Three Elements of Iraq War Opinion

This is the week for a review of opinion of the war. There are three questions that have been asked consistently throughout the war. "Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation...

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July 27, 2007

Unspinning Howard Wolfson*

Earlier today on Hardball, MSNBC's Chris Matthews had the following exchange with Howard Wolfson, communications director for the Clinton campaign (my transcript below the video): Matthews: How would you describe [Sen. Clinton's] position in voting to authorize the war...

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June 08, 2007

Who lost the Iraq war funding/veto fight?

The debate over the Iraq War funding bill-- the original one with withdrawal dates-- and the presidential veto of the bill posed a key political question: who wins when Congress confronts President, and in this particular case did President...

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May 11, 2007

Iraq War: Losing or Lost?

Thanks to Washington Post blogger Dan Froomkin for tipping me off to this exchange from yesterday's press briefing by presidential press secretary Tony Snow that leads indirectly to some fundamental questions regarding public opinion and the Iraq War: Q...

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February 22, 2007

Polling on Iraq: Sometimes the wording doesn't matter

Polling on the Iraq war inevitably become entangled with the politics of the war, with partisans seizing on results that support their preferences. This was vividly demonstrated this week by a Public Opinion Strategies (POS) poll conducted for The...

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January 25, 2007

.98

You rarely see media pollsters cite correlation coefficients in their reports. On the other hand, you rarely see a correlation as strong as the one ABC News Polling Director Gary Langer cites in his tour de force summary of...

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January 11, 2007

Instant Reaction to the "Surge" Speech

Two survey organizations - CBS News and ABC/Washington Post - went into the field immediately after the Presidential address last night to gauge reactions among those at home. Both polls appear to show the same polarization in reaction: Republicans...

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January 10, 2007

Iraq Opinion Review

With President Bush set to speak to the nation tonight on a new Iraq strategy I thought is was a good time to review the recent opinion trends related to Iraq. The graph above compares approval of Bush's overall...

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January 10, 2007

Iraq Polls: Surge and Diverge?

Tonight, by all accounts, President will unveil his plan for a "surge" in troop levels in Iraq. Do Americans agree? Recent polls have provided some very conflicting results, with support for sending more troops to Iraq ranging anywhere from...

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October 09, 2006

Michael Cobb on NCSU Iraq Survey

Dr. Cobb is an assistant professor of political science at North Carolina State University who specializes in survey research and polling methods. In a recent poll that Dr. William Boettcher and I conducted with the Institute for Southern Studies, we...

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October 03, 2006

Catching Up

It must just be Murphy's Law of blogging, but the most link-worthy news always seems to spring up during days when I am unable to post.  I will try to catch up with more details on some of these items,...

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