Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

KY: 2010 Senate (SurveyUSA 10/30-11/2)


SurveyUSA
10/30-11/2/09; 1,770 registered voters, 2.4% margin of error
448 likely Republican primary voters, 4.7% margin of error
602 likely Democratic primary voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)

Kentucky

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
35% Rand Paul, 32% Trey Grayson, 3% Roger Thoney, 2% Bill Johnson, 1% Brian Fouglas Oerther

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
39% Dan Mongiardo, 28% Jack Conway, 5% Lillie Miller-Johnson, 2% Darlene Fitzgerald Price,
1% Maurice Marion Sweeney

2010 Governor: General Election
43% Grayson, 39% Conway
48% Grayson, 38% Mongiardo
44% Conway, 39% Paul
43% Mongiardo, 43% Paul

 

Comments
Gopherguy:

Who is considered more conservative, Paul or Grayson?

____________________

platanoman:

Rand Paul Is that even a question?

____________________

Gopherguy:

If Rand Paul believes what his father believes he's not necessarily more conservative. Paul would be against both wars, clearly not conservative. Paul wouldn't adopt neo-con positions on foreign policy, but that foreign policy seems to be the conservative one.

That's why I ask who is more conservative. I would guess it's Paul, but it seems debatable.

____________________

Rick D.:

Rand Paul is libertarian in a similar vein to his father, although supposedly they don't agree on absolutely everything. Still, it's very exciting to see him have a decent shot at a Senate seat.

I also smile thinking about what must be going through Trey Grayson's mind. When Rand first announced Grayson acted like he was just a side show, and now Paul is BEATING him in the polls!

____________________

Rick D.:

One other thing worth noting: If you look at the breakdown, Paul is leading with the most conservative voters, and Grayson with the Moderates, pro-choice, and young people. I have to wonder how that will change as Paul's Libertarian leanings become more known - will he gain popularity with the youth/moderates, or will it turn off the Conservative base?

____________________

Louis:

It intresting that each parties strongest candidate for the general at least as far as the numbers show is running second.

____________________

RaleighNC:

If Rand Paul is a fiscal conservative he'll be fine.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR