KY: 55% Paul, 40% Conway (SurveyUSA 8/30-9/1)
Emily Swanson | September 7, 2010
Topics: Kentucky , poll
SurveyUSA / Courier-Journal Bluegrass / WHAS-TV
8/30-9/1/10; 561 likely voters, 4.2% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)
Kentucky
2010 Senate
55% Paul (R), 40% Conway (D) (chart)
By Emily Swanson | September 7, 2010 9:23 AM | Permalink | Comments (6) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
I'd like for this to be true, however some of the internal numbers are a little weird. For example, Paul wins 37% of the African American vote?
Posted on September 7, 2010 9:56 AM
Only in SUSA world would Paul get nearly 2 in 5 AA voters. SUSA makes Rasmussen look good. Paul may be ahead, but by about half what this poll shows.
Posted on September 7, 2010 10:09 AM
It's weird, because SUSA did very well in 2008, but they do seem to be a little off this cycle.
Posted on September 7, 2010 10:48 AM
i guess polssters are only "off" when liberals don't agree with the results? paul's going to waltz to victory if he just keeps his mouth shut
Posted on September 7, 2010 11:36 AM
Susa may still turn out to be the most accurate of all. Their likely voter screen produces more pro-GOP samples than Ras and PPP, but the way these national generics are trending, SUSA may have gotten more correct than the rest.
As far as blacks go, SUSA keeps on producing similar results in state after state. What needs to be taken into account is the tiny sample (about 33 individuals) and the tight likely voter screen. Meaning - perhaps only a third or so of all blacks questioned made the survey based on likelihood of voting, and those most likely to vote are the most conservative this cycle. So, 37% may not be all that odd.
Posted on September 7, 2010 11:46 AM
@VW: Don't get me wrong, I love the result. I just kind of did a double take when I saw that. Especially with the manufactured Civil Rights controversy and all.
Posted on September 7, 2010 1:47 PM
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