Last Trend Comparison, '08 vs '00 and '04
Charles Franklin | November 4, 2008
A last review of how we got to today and how that compares to the last two presidential races.
Below is a comparison of undecided rates. 2008 looks a lot like 2000, but in 2004 with an incumbent fewer took as long to make up their minds.
By Charles Franklin | November 4, 2008 1:03 PM | Permalink | Comments (2) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
It is always interesting to me that Obama's trend overall looks much like Kerry's, just set at a higher level. Conversely, it almost looks like a mirror image of Gore's trend.
I sometimes wonder accordingly whether I am just looking at an incumbent-party-popularity effect, with Obama outperforming Kerry because the incumbent party is now so much less popular, and Gore being the mirror image because back then he represented the incumbent party.
Posted on November 4, 2008 2:46 PM
to DTM: the incumbent party has their convention second, so the pattern you're seeing is likely just the convention bounces.
Posted on November 4, 2008 4:56 PM
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