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MA: 2010 Gov (Rasmussen 10/22)


Rasmussen
10/22/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phome
(Rasmussen release)

Massachusetts

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 54 / 44
Gov. Patrick: 43 / 56

2010 Governor
Patrick (D) 34%, Mihos (R) 23%, Cahill (i) 23%
Patrick (D) 34%, Baker (R) 24%, Cahill (i) 23%

Favorable / Unfavorable
Christy Mihos: 40 / 36
Deval Patrick: 48 / 50
Tim Cahill: 49 / 25
Charlie Baker: 32 / 29

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Wonder where Cahill is drawing his support from? Being that he is a former Dem, i would say its coming from there but he has come out recently in favor of many republican ideals like lower taxes. Would love to see a 2nd choice question next time.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Cahill is a more fiscally conservative-minded democrat. I'll bet he is pulling more or less equally from both cadidates.

However, I find Obama's 54% approval in Massachusetts unbelievable. I've lived in Mass and he is extremely popular there - ie: just this past summer you still saw a lot of Obama themed crap (t-shirts, etc...) sold in stores.

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Farleftandproud:

This is clearly the ultimate lie of Obama being 54/44 in Mass in Approval. This is by far their biggest bullshitting effort to date. His Gallup approval is only 2 points below that Nationally. I wish that Rasmussen would stick to Red states only, so people may actually believe this nonsense.

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mysticlaker:

If Obama's approval in mass is 54% I will eat my shoe. Rasmussen is becoming more and more of a joke everyday.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Rasmussen state polls are not as good as their national ones, as evidenced by 2008. For example, they were at least 3 points off on Colorado, Indiana, Nevada, Florida (where they predicted a McCain win), Michigan (way off), New Mexico, North Carolina (missed the winner), Ohio, Oregon, etc... basically any state that was a battleground, they were off.

In Massachusetts, they underestimated Obama's support by 10-15 points until October 10-13 2008, when they got it right. There was no pre-election Rasmussen poll for MA.

And when I looked at the RCP final nat'l election polls, 3 other pollters got almost identical results as Rasmussen - Pew, CNN/Opinion Research, and Ipsos/McClatchy. ABC, IBD, and Marist also accurately pegged Obama's result, but understated McCain's number by 1-2 points. I think Rasmussen was helped in accuracy in that their national poll and tracker did not fluctuate as much as the others, but in the end, many polls were accurate.

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IdahoMulato:

I'm happy Deval Patrick is in front contrary to earlier polls when he was way behind. I think he handled the Kennedy's replacement well and that's what has helped him.

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John:

500 Likely voters for which election? I would assume the 2010 governors race. (In which case a lower Obama approval rate would be expected)

Also would Rasmussen please state what their topline question actually is - what candidate names are read out, (is the option other used?), and whether initial choices which are not the main parties are then being pushed. I do not think they have here but they are being in Rasmussen's NJ polls.

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Farleftandproud:

Deval Patrick is a good man. Hopefully he can be the first African American Governor to win re-election. (Wilder was gov. of VA for 4 years, but VA only gives governors 1 term)

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Farleftandproud:

For all the junkies like us who look at polls and for those who are die hard Democrats and progressives, Rasmussen actually helps us out more than they do the GOP. It sort of makes us expect the worst (Younger voters, minority voters stay home for the mid terms) but hope for the best (Get the unlikely voters butts out to vote and vote early and absentee) we'll have success. Conservative pollsters keep progressives motivated.

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