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MA: 2010 Sen (Coakley 1/8-10)

Topics: poll

Mellman Group (D) for Martha Coakley Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
1/8-10/10; 800 likely voters
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Politico story)

Massachusetts

2010 Senate
50% Martha Coakley (D), 36% Scott Brown (R), 6% Joe Kennedy (i) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Brown: 48 / 25
Coakley: 56 / 33

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

PPP should stay out of New England. In Mass, what you see is what you get the first time from polls done by New Englanders. Rasmussen, PPP and Mason Dixon can stick to states like Ohio, PA and Virginia. Thankfully New Englanders have a sense of loyalty and don't tend to listen to all the media hype coming from cable news; I won't include only liberal politicians. Judd Gregg, Olympia Snowe and Susan collins have had faithful voters too. Brown is an unknown inexperienced state politician, whereas Coakley has years of experience and is simply the better candidate.

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Stillow:

Careful, its a funky pollster polling on behalf of Coakly.......we'll see how the ppp result ends up, but I think Rass is rpobably dead on....he had brown down by 9....I think brown will lose by single digits........

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CUWriter:

This is an internal poll, so take it with a huge grain of salt. I think the Globe is way off but Stillow is probably right here; Ras has it nailed with a more strict LV screen than the Globe but less strict than PPP. If there's a massive snowstorm, I think it's 50/50. Failing that, I think Coakley wins but only by 3-5 points. She's hit a consistent ceiling of 50%. Kennedy won't get even 1%, which leaves Brown to gobble up most of that and most of the the undecided vote.

I'm predicting 52-48 for Coakley, but no call for hours... which will send massive chills down the spines of Dems in states with even a hint of red.

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Field Marshal:

An internal poll giving her only 50%. Not good for Coakley. I too think she will win but by less than 5%. Man, it would be great to see Kennedy's seat go to a Rep. The would be the icing on the cake.

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LordMike:

FM,

Well, that does include ^% going to Kennedy, which would be unlikely in the end.

Yes, I'd like that top number to be higher, but both the Globe and this poll show that Kennedy's name is pulling voters from Coakley (as a result of confusion).

I would bet hat Rasmussen is polling this today (since he polled it last week on Monday)... if the result is good for Brown, then they will certainly post it... if not, they may just sit on it!

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Louis:

final result coakley 55%, BRown 43%, JKennedy 2%. Range for Cakley 55-57% depending on turn out.Margin 12 -to 16%.
If i'm wrong I will ignore Stillow for a week. If I'm right I will ignore him for 2 weeks.

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Louis:

shold be 53-57% Coakley I'm typing to fast.

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Field Marshal:

"If i'm wrong I will ignore Stillow for a week. If I'm right I will ignore him for 2 weeks. "

Seems like he wins if you are right.

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Farleftandproud:

I am watching the debate on the NEw england news network. Scott Brown is clearly defending some enhanced interrogation programs which never acheieved their mission. As I hear him speak he has no eye contact and is acting as though he doesn't want to even be debating Coakley. He has clearly stated his defense for Roe VS Wade being in Mass. He wasn't going to risk being considered a social conservative.

As he tried to pick fights with Coakley on healthcare, she keeps bringing up that Mass. 3 years ago was the first state to implement more affordable health premiums and requiring people to be assured. She did an amazing job at pointing out the wasted money spent on emergency room visits. Money is wasted on services we don't need.

Scott Brown did a fair job on debating economic issues, but on terrorism and trying criminals in federal court, he couldn't counter argue her, why terror suspects should be tried in military courts. Being a military veteran I was surprised how little he knew about the topic. He could not counter argue her. Mass has no room in it's prisons unlike other states, so there isn't fear that terror suspects will come to prisons here.

He rambles a lot and doesn't know much about cap and trade. I am not a professional politician but I could have been a better debater than him.

Even though neither of these candidates can replace the Master himself, Ted Kennedy, she is well versed as a tough prosecutor. She put some really bad people away and remember because I lived in her district.

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Farleftandproud:

I personally liked Kennedy the libertarian better than Scott Brown. Brown may get elected governor someday in Mass; they are more inclined to elect GOP governors than to send one to Washington. He'll be moderate like Olympia Snowe while he is governor of Mass, and than like Romney, he'll try to be a heartland, southern or western style conservative. He won't have the multistate residency to fall back on, they way Mitt Romney did.

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