Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

ME: 2012 Sen Primary (PPP 10/31-11/1)


Public Policy Polling
10/31-11/1/09; 1,133 likely voters, 2.9% margin of error
415 likely Republican primary voters, 4.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Maine

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Snowe: 51 / 36

2012 Senate: Republican Primary
59% More conservative challenger, 31% Snowe

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I didn't even know she was up for re-election. I actually thought Maine wasn't like PA or Florida trying to purge moderates within the party. Than again I thought Maine voters would respect equal marriages. Perhaps Snowe can go the way of Arlen Specter. As a progressive, I would have more trust in her to move to the Democratic side than I would Specter.

____________________

Field Marshal:

I think she should just become an independent along with Collins, Nelson, Landrieu, and Lincoln and join Lieberman. These are true centrists who cannot win primaries in either party.

____________________

lat:

Way to go GOP! Keep driving moderates out of your party. Maybe they should just put a sign up that says only white southern males need apply?

____________________

Xenobion:

Too bad they only polled republicans for the last question, isn't that a the point of a moderate candidate? To get democratic votes as well as republican? People know what Maine is about, if they elect a more conservative republican in the primaries say byebye to the seat.

____________________

sprinkleofcocoa.blogspot.com:

Hey, do you guys notice this is for the 2012 primary not 2010? The primary affect of this sort of thing is either to remind Senator Snowe not to go to far from her base, or invite her to switch bases like Senator Specter. Given the source, I would think it's the latter.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

I think Maine being in New England, Snowe and Collins are thought of to be as conservative as an elected official can get. Maine is dominated by centrists in contrast to states like Ohio and Missouri that are very partisan. When you get a conservative senator you get someone ultra conservative like Ashcroft and Jim Demint compared to more progressive senators like Claire Mccaskill and Sherrod Brown. The GOP and the Dems can't compare New England to the rest of the country. The mindset is very different here.

____________________

Field Marshal:

Farleftandproud,

I agree (ugh, i think i just threw up a bit). JK! That is why i think my notion of independent centrists would work in NE. It has worked so far for Lieberman and i think he has his re-election locked if he seeks it in 2012. I also think Collins and Snowe would fit this mold very well along with Chafee in RI.

____________________

Farleftandproud:

I would trust Olympia Snowe if she ran as a Democrat than I would Arlen Spector. Snowe has been a swing voter throughout the years since Clinton's presidency, but Spector once was one of the biggest health care reform killers back in 1994 and I don't know if I trust him now. Sestak has to win the PA Primary or the GOP will pick up a seat. If Healthcare passes this year, maybe Spector can have a transformed Scrooge moment. He can go to a north Philly Soup kitchen and start giving handouts to the kids. Now that would be tranformation for you!

____________________

Farleftandproud:

I would trust Olympia Snowe if she ran as a Democrat than I would Arlen Spector. Snowe has been a swing voter throughout the years since Clinton's presidency, but Spector once was one of the biggest health care reform killers back in 1994 and I don't know if I trust him now. Sestak has to win the PA Primary or the GOP will pick up a seat. If Healthcare passes this year, maybe Spector can have a transformed Scrooge moment. He can go to a north Philly Soup kitchen and start giving handouts to the kids. Now that would be tranformation for you!

____________________

Farleftandproud:

In my previous comment, I was talking about Ohio liking either progressive or conservative senators. I meant to refer to Jim Dewine who lost to Sherrod Brown, not Jim Demint, the one who cited healthcare reform as Obama's Waterloo. After he said that I kept playing the Kink's song, Waterloo Sunset.

____________________

Bigmike:

lat

You left out rich. Gotta keep out the riff raff you know.

Why should conservatives view Snowe and her type any differently than you libs view the blue dogs? Tell me you don't want Blanche voted out if she holds up your precious govt health care takeover.


____________________

NJVoter:

Maine Republicans should call Sarah Palin, she'll loose this seat for them in no time.

____________________

Paul:

Field Marshall et.al:

As a moderate Democrat from CT, having lived in New England for 30 years in MA and CT, New England is unique in some respects. Votes have not been along party lines. Governors have been Republicans and the base in all of New England states, with perhaps NH a question mark, being Democratic. There are now no Republican house members in all of New England - but that is because of local politics, infusion of national dollars and the significant Obama effect. There is now perhaps a backlash coming where House seats will be vulnerable, and where Dodd's Senate seat is vulnerable.

As to Lieberman, clearly street Democrats, like myself, do not endorse his existence as he lost the primary. He is much more popular with Republicans and with Independents than Democrats. He lost the Democratic vote and won the Senate seat and stayed in the Democratic caucus which many, including myself, find very hypocritical.

As to Snow or Collins, dynamics could change between now and 2012, but Maine likes Snowe, period. She is a moderate New England Republican, which is fine with people in Maine except the far left and far right. A moderate who is well known and well liked will win. Today that is Snowe.

As to Pollster.com, I look forward to polling on the CT. Governor's race, with Governor Rell announcing she will not run.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR