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ME: 2012, 2014 Sen (DemCorps 9/23-27)


Democracy Corps (D)
9/23-27/09; 808 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(DemCorps release)

Maine

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 62 / 34
Sen. Collins: 69 / 26
Sen. Snowe: 70 / 23

Favorable / Unfavorable
Obama: 61 / 27
Collins: 57 / 20
Snowe: 61 / 19
The Republican Party: 27 / 49
The Democratic Party: 47 / 32

If the next election for US Senator were held today do you think you would definitely vote to re-elect Susan Collins, probably vote to re-elect Susan Collins, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?
23% Definitely Collins, 32% Probably Collins, 18% Probably someone else, 14% Definitely someone else

If the next election for US Senator were held today do you think you would definitely vote to re-elect Olympia Snowe, probably vote to re-elect Olympia Snowe, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?
28% Definitely Snowe, 32% Probably Snowe, 18% Probably someone else, 12% Definitely someone else

I know it's a long way off, but thinking about the election for U.S. Senate in November 2012, if the election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the candidates were: Republican Olympia Snowe and the Democratic Candidate -- for whom would you vote, Republican
Olympia Snowe or the Democratic Candidate?

56% Snowe, 26% Democrat

One of the questions on the ballot this November will read as follows: "Do you want to reject the new law that lets same-sex couples marry and allows individuals and religious groups to refuse to perform these marriages?" - If the election were held today, would you vote YES or NO on this question?
41% Yes, 50% No

As you may have heard, President Obama has proposed a plan to reform the health care system. From what you have heard about this plan, do you favor or oppose Obama's health care proposal?
45% Favor, 41% Oppose

 

Comments
Luke:

Good news for the pro-equality people- seems like Maine is trending toward not eliminating marriage for everyone.... hopefully...

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Stephen_W:

The fight to prevent gay marraige is a losing battle, but I'm amazed at how fast it's slipped from the anti-gay craze of 2004. It's an issue that seems to only bother older Americans, and in 10 years they will be outnumbered by younger, more open-minded voters. As for the other numbers, seems like Maine's representatives are safe as can be. Same goes for Obama here.

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Stillow:

Misguided liberals and conservatives who oppose gay marraige are simply that, misguided. They have no right to tell anyone who they can and cannot marry....being a social libertarian as I am, both the left and the right irritate me to no end on social issues.

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Xenobion:

Heh something I could probably agree with you Stillow. Who knew? ;p

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Cyril Washbrook:

I'd be careful about drawing conclusions from that gay marriage poll. It's a negatively worded question (i.e. vote yes if you don't oppose), which tends to throw the reliability into question. Empirical studies have shown that a reasonably significant number of respondents, thinking that a "no" means "no to gay marriage", would accidentally pick that option.

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Cyril Washbrook:

Argh, I've even mixed myself up with the negatively worded question! For the bit in brackets, I meant to say: "Vote yes if you oppose gay marriage, vote no if you support gay marriage."

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Aaron_in_TX:

Looks like the Maine sisters are a lock until they retire. Obama has an extremely comfortable approval rate here, I'm sure Snowe and Collins will take that into account when health care comes up.

I love Maine, it's such a pretty state with great people. Wish I could live there.

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JMSTiger:

I am surprised opposition to gay marriage is as high as it is in a state like Maine.

I happen to agree with Stillow. On these types of individual rights issues, the future of the country is toward a libertarian viewpoint. And I say this as a fairly conservative Southerner. The main ideological battle should be over the size and role of government in our lives, not these types of social issues. If the conservative movement/Republican Party starts to move away from these types of issues and focuses instead on taxes, spending, the size and role of government, individual freedoms, etc, they will be very competative. Obsess about things like gays, abortion, flag burning, etc and there is no future.

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JMSTiger:

@ Aaron_in_TX-

Collins and Snowe and extremely safe in Maine whether or not they vote for the Democratic health care plan.

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